leads contract 3NT
#1
Posted 2007-September-26, 08:50
dummy has K1062
I lead 8 4th highest and dummy played 2 pard played 3 the 8 held
I then switched as I assumed pard was discouraging, should I have read that better ?
#2
Posted 2007-September-26, 09:55
When the 8 holds, you should assume that partner has the ace. He was probably misled by your lead. It is normal to lead the Q from QJ98(xxx). Partner probably assumed that the 8 would lose to the 9 or J or Q, since your lead looks like it might be from 843, J98, Q98 or something like that.
#3
Posted 2007-September-26, 12:40
It's possible that declarer ducked from Ax or Axx. As we don't know the bidding it's hard to judge the odds for declarer holding a singleton. I'd assume partner held Axx.
Harald
#5
Posted 2007-September-27, 07:32
#6
Posted 2007-September-27, 07:39
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 06:13 AM, said:
I'm not sure it should be.
Seems to me that it should be the Queen if declarer is the strong hand (eg. 1NT-3NT) and 4th best if dummy is the strong hand (eg. 1♦-1NT-3NT). If you have that agreement, then your partner will certainly 'get it right' in a situation like this when you lead the 8.
Doesn't really matter. Any agreement is better than no agreement.
#7
Posted 2007-September-27, 07:55
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#8
Posted 2007-September-27, 08:53
Codo, on Sep 27 2007, 08:55 AM, said:
Should be an interesting exercise.
The opponents bid 1♦-1NT-3NT with no intereference. Looking at QJ987 in hand, Dummy should have...
Txxx or better
Kxx or better, or
Ax or better
Declarer could have nothing in hearts.
1) If dummy has Txxx, and partner has AKx, then the lead of the queen blocks the suit, while the lead of the 8 allows partner to overtake and come back. If partner has Ax, it shouldn't make any difference which card you lead. If partner has Kx, then it doesn't make any difference if partner puts up the king if you lead low, but may be worth another trick if he can duck the opening lead to declarer's ace.
2) If dummy has Kxx in hearts, and partner has the ten, (with or without the ace), it doesn't matter which one you lead. If partner has Ax and declarer Txx, opener can duck the lead of the queen to block the suit, which acutally makes things worse than if you'd led the 8. If partner has Axx, then the lead of the queen allows you to run the suit while the lead of the 8 allows the opponent to duck to force out the ace. If declarer has ATx, then leading low will get them three tricks but leading high will usually get them two. If declarer has exactly AT, then leading high will always get them only two heart tricks.
3) If dummy has KTx in hearts, and declarer has the ace, then you might get lucky if you lead the 8 but you'll never get lucky leading the queen. If partner has the ace, the opponent's might play the ten and get one heart trick, or the king and get none. If you lead the queen, they're guaranteed one heart trick.
4. If dummy has Ax(x) in hearts, and partner has either the ten or the king, it doesn't matter what you lead. If declarer has KTx or KT, then it's the same situation as #2.
5. If dummy has ATx(x), and partner the king, then it can never be worse to lead the 8 and it's frequently better, as the suit may block otherwise or the ten might set up. If dummy has ATx(x) and declarer the king, playing the 8 gives the opponents a chance to make a mistake while if you play the Q they always get 3 heart tricks.
I think that it's solidy in favor of leading 4th best when dummy is the strong hand, assuming that your partner is aware of this. I assume I'll get the usual dustoff, however.
#9
Posted 2007-September-27, 08:57
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 07:13 AM, said:
Yes. It doesn't always work out but it is indeed standard....
P thinks you are leading from top-of-nothing due to your .... er, idiosyncratic choice.
I would have assumed, as your partner, that we have zero nada zilch zippo in this suit, other than my Ace, would therefore win trick one, and shift to whatever suit you wanted me to lead back at trick two....
#10
Posted 2007-September-27, 11:10
ralph23, on Sep 27 2007, 04:57 PM, said:
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 07:13 AM, said:
Yes. It doesn't always work out but it is indeed standard....
P thinks you are leading from top-of-nothing due to your .... er, idiosyncratic choice.
I would have assumed, as your partner, that we have zero nada zilch zippo in this suit, other than my Ace, would therefore win trick one, and shift to whatever suit you wanted me to lead back at trick two....
Well, looking at 53 in hand and 62 in dummy an aware partner would recognize that the only missing cards below 8 it the 7 and 4. Depending on lead methods, the 8 could be top of nothing or from QJ98(x) if that's your alternatives, or it could be from J874/J8x/9874/98x or from QJ98(x). A high spot card isn't high when you can see all lower spot cards. And it's ambigous when you can see most of them.
Normally (not always) the bidding will make it clear which alternative partner will be holding. To just out of hand conclude that partner has nothing in the suit is very strange IMO. Of course if you always lead the queen from QJ98(x) you DO know this isn't partner's holding.
Harald
#11
Posted 2007-September-27, 11:19
skaeran, on Sep 27 2007, 01:10 PM, said:
Exactly my point, thanks!
#12
Posted 2007-September-27, 13:17
ralph23, on Sep 27 2007, 09:57 AM, said:
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 07:13 AM, said:
Yes. It doesn't always work out but it is indeed standard....
I don't think so, not against NT. I don't even know what the word standard means here.
With QJ9x I usually lead the queen and with QJ9xx I usually lead fourth. But it depends on the auction.
- hrothgar
#13
Posted 2007-September-27, 13:53
Hannie, on Sep 27 2007, 03:17 PM, said:
ralph23, on Sep 27 2007, 09:57 AM, said:
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 07:13 AM, said:
Yes. It doesn't always work out but it is indeed standard....
I don't think so, not against NT. I don't even know what the word standard means here.
With QJ9x I usually lead the queen and with QJ9xx I usually lead fourth. But it depends on the auction.
"Standard" means generally accepted. That is not the same meaning as "correct" or "best" of course; just generally accepted as the regular procedure and stated as such by acknowledged published authorities.
Root, How To Defend, states (p.2) standard as this: with a 3-card sequence, lead the top regardless of length, against NT or suit. QJT, lead the Q. QJTxx, same.
With the 1st and 2nd honors, lacking the 3rd but specifically holding the 4th, treat it as if it were a 3-card sequence. QJ9, treat as if it were QJT.
However, if declarer or dummy is known to have 4 cards in the suit, 4th best may be right; Root gives an example (#22) where leading 4th best from QJT43 is the winning play; but surely this isn't the case when you hold a string such as QJ987!
If you have a published authority who holds differently, it would be great to see it... there are a lot of considerations of course.
Here, leading 4th best fooled partner and a comedy of errors ensued.
Would you lead the 8 from specifically QJ987 ??
#14
Posted 2007-September-27, 13:58
ralph23, on Sep 27 2007, 02:53 PM, said:
How did it fool partner? Partner played low, and your 8 held the trick. If it had fooled partner, he'd have played the ace.
The opening leader managed to fool himself.
#15
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:09
Then, as others have pointed out, it is silly to think about switching.
#16 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:13
Hannie, on Sep 27 2007, 02:17 PM, said:
ralph23, on Sep 27 2007, 09:57 AM, said:
lowerline, on Sep 27 2007, 07:13 AM, said:
Yes. It doesn't always work out but it is indeed standard....
I don't think so, not against NT. I don't even know what the word standard means here.
With QJ9x I usually lead the queen and with QJ9xx I usually lead fourth. But it depends on the auction.
QJ9xx is a world away from QJ987, but I agree that it depends on the auction and the rest of your hand. Surely most of the time the Q is right from QJ987 though
#17 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:15
mikeh, on Sep 27 2007, 03:09 PM, said:
It is just as easy to say "partner has QJ98 or has led top of nothing" and much more informative, as partner wouldn't usually lead the 8 from QJ98 you can infer partner usually has led top of nothing and may be able to work out to win the ace and shift. If you just blindly use the rule of 11 without thinking some more which you seem to suggest in your post (though I'm sure this is not how you actually defend), you wouldn't be able to take the inference that 4th best from partner may not make sense, you would just say declarer has none higher and duck. Of course its an easy step in logic to go from "declarer has none higher" to "partner would then have QJ98" but the one thing I am sure of is at some point you must think about the combinations of holdings partner can have and whether that comes from the rule of 11 first or just working it out first it doesn't matter.
#18
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:29
#19
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:30
jtfanclub, on Sep 27 2007, 03:58 PM, said:
lol, I think they both finagled to fool each other, as well as to fool themselves!
#20
Posted 2007-September-27, 14:56

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