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Surprising High Level Competitive Decision Judgment Call

Poll: Your bid? (42 member(s) have cast votes)

Your bid?

  1. Pass (17 votes [40.48%])

    Percentage of vote: 40.48%

  2. Double (22 votes [52.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 52.38%

  3. 5 Spades (2 votes [4.76%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.76%

  4. Other (1 votes [2.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.38%

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#1 User is offline   jdeegan 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 05:01

Scoring: IMP

1♣-P-1♠-Dbl
2♠-P-3♣-5♦
???

:P The opponents are unknown, but presumably competent in the last round of a large Regional Swiss where we are both in contention.
Playing support doubles, 2♠ showed 4. I considered 3♠, but it seemed too pushy. 3♣ was a game try that I am eager to accept. 5♦ was, naturally, a surprise. You get to huddle for longer than usual, but beyond some point, a slow pass carries its customary baggage.
What do you bid? Any comments?
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#2 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 05:59

Anything could be right. I double (yeah, I know it's IMPs).

Peter
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#3 User is offline   ulven 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 08:04

Double. I don't expect to make 5S with likely bad breaks in our suit(s) and I have two defensive tricks in H's. Partner should be good for at least one.
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#4 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 10:22

I'd pass here. If partner has a singleton diamond we are very likely to make 5♠. After all, we have a maximum with great help in clubs and nothing wasted in diamonds. Partner is still there to balance with a double when diamonds are 2-2 or 3-2 in our hands.

My general rule in this sort of auction is that double shows some diamond values or a fairly bad hand in general (warning partner we don't have a pure hand and that it's usually wrong to bid on), pass shows a hand like this with "working cards" if partner wants to bid on but some diamond length, and bidding on directly guarantees a singleton or void in diamonds.
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#5 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 10:24

awm, on Sep 1 2007, 11:22 AM, said:

I'd pass here. If partner has a singleton diamond we are very likely to make 5♠. After all, we have a maximum with great help in clubs and nothing wasted in diamonds. Partner is still there to balance with a double when diamonds are 2-2 or 3-2 in our hands.

My general rule in this sort of auction is that double shows some diamond values or a fairly bad hand in general (warning partner we don't have a pure hand and that it's usually wrong to bid on), pass shows a hand like this with "working cards" if partner wants to bid on but some diamond length, and bidding on directly guarantees a singleton or void in diamonds.

I agree if pass were forcing, but I see no reason it should be. So double is pretty much forced with a hand like this where I expect they are down.
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#6 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 10:45

Regardless of whether pass is forcing, shouldn't double show a defensive-oriented hand? Of course we have opened and partner made a game try, so it seems odds-on that 5♦ will fail, but if we always double on any hand where we think 5♦ will fail doesn't that mean we almost always double and almost never do anything else?

This particular hand has nothing wasted in diamonds, and two kings in four-card holdings opposite partner's supposed length. It seems like a very offensive-oriented hand to me. If partner leaves 5♦ undoubled, he probably has some very lousy game try based on fit and not points (say AQxx xx xx JTxxx) and it's not beyond the realm of possibility that 5♦ makes (or down one at most).
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#7 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 10:54

ulven, on Sep 1 2007, 04:04 PM, said:

Double. I don't expect to make 5S with likely bad breaks in our suit(s) and I have two defensive tricks in H's. Partner should be good for at least one.

Agree.

Move one ♦ to ♥'s, and it looks right to bid 5♠ (no I don't think the hand is worth 3♦/3♠ earlier, but it's close and I can understand a jump).

Take away the ♥J and ♣Q (if that's not an opening for you, add the ♣J), and a non-forcing pass looks best. There's no way to tell partner that you'd accept the game try but can't bid at the 5-level (if pass is non-forcing, which I agree is correct).
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 11:46

awm, on Sep 1 2007, 11:45 AM, said:

Of course we have opened and partner made a game try, so it seems odds-on that 5♦ will fail, but if we always double on any hand where we think 5♦ will fail doesn't that mean we almost always double and almost never do anything else?

I don't just automatically double because I opened, in fact pass is probably my most common action. I double here because I have tricks. This hand is really good for both offense and defense.

However you are correct, the most likely result by far is 5♦X, next is 5♦, and rarest is 5♠. As it should be.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#9 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 13:30

I think this hand brings up an interesting point. If partner had made a sound raise of your suit (which he couldn't here), then we'd be in a forcing pass situation. However, he has bid 3♣, which should show at least invitational values. So I fail to see why this should not create a forcing pass. However, I'm sure someone will enlighten me. :D
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#10 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 14:36

Quote

I think this hand brings up an interesting point. If partner had made a sound raise of your suit (which he couldn't here), then we'd be in a forcing pass situation. However, he has bid 3♣, which should show at least invitational values. So I fail to see why this should not create a forcing pass. However, I'm sure someone will enlighten me.


Pass after an invitation from one side is a tricky area, because, after all, the game has not been *freely bid*, not has game even been agreed to.

I think you can play it either way.

Peter
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#11 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 14:55

Echognome, on Sep 1 2007, 02:30 PM, said:

I think this hand brings up an interesting point. If partner had made a sound raise of your suit (which he couldn't here), then we'd be in a forcing pass situation. However, he has bid 3♣, which should show at least invitational values. So I fail to see why this should not create a forcing pass. However, I'm sure someone will enlighten me. :rolleyes:

I don't play forcing passes after a sound raise, and I don't play a forcing pass here.

:rolleyes: back to you.
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#12 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 17:28

Echognome, on Sep 1 2007, 11:30 AM, said:

I think this hand brings up an interesting point.  If partner had made a sound raise of your suit (which he couldn't here), then we'd be in a forcing pass situation.  However, he has bid 3♣, which should show at least invitational values.  So I fail to see why this should not create a forcing pass.  However, I'm sure someone will enlighten me.  :rolleyes:

Because we aren't in a GF situation.

A forcing pass means we double them or we play the 5 level. With a little extra, I don't mind doubling them, but theres plenty of hands where I'd want to play 5♦ undoubled.

After my double, I wouldn't mind if pard overrules me.
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#13 User is offline   SoTired 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 18:17

What does East have? If East is sacing, wouldn't it make more sense for East to wait until we bid game? So my guess is that East has oodles of diam and hearts and is bidding to make. We are not going to get rich dbling this. Down 1 or down 2 at best. Against our vul game, -300 vs -100 is a 3 IMP gain. As a matter of fact, East may have something like A KQ10x AKQxxxx x. Partner may have something like Qxxxx xxx - AJxxx and both 5D and 5S makes. If we dbl, partner may assume that we have some diam values and pass.

And why should we dbl? Do we have something extraordinary that our 1C/2S bids did not show? What?! Two extra HCPs and dblton small diam! That's it? If partner can't dbl this or can't bid 5S, let them play undbled.

PASS.
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#14 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2007-September-01, 19:39

IMO anything else then pass is a gross mistake.

3♣ could be a game try so there is no forcing pass involved. You have a balanced 14 count with 1 ace. Partner know you have 4s. Passing is an almost perfect description of your hand. If partner has 2 small diamonds or 4 spades to the 9 you don't want to play 5♠.

Let partner decide he will make a good decision most of the time.
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#15 User is offline   SchTsch 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 03:04

Pass.

I have what I bid, don't see the point of bidding again. If 5♦X is a good option partner will probably know it better than me.
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#16 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 03:13

Double, pretty much forced...
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#17 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 03:48

Hannie, on Sep 1 2007, 12:55 PM, said:

I don't play forcing passes after a sound raise, and I don't play a forcing pass here.

  ;) back to you.

Sorry. A bit late in replying. I usually play opener + sound raise = forcing pass, but overcall + sound raise = not forcing pass. Not sure what's right or best.

Back to you. <_<

pclayton said:

Because we aren't in a GF situation.


I play a few forcing passes as non game forcing. For example: 1NT - (Dbl) - ReDbl I play as "forcing to fit", which is not necessarily GF. I think it's absolutely clear that if we are in a game forcing auction, then pass is forcing. What's not so clear is if we are not in a game forcing auction, whether there are situations where pass should be forcing. I define my rules above (in regards to this auction). However, I'm willing to listen to others if they think they are too loose.
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#18 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 03:54

Not sure what dbl should mean here (assuming pass is not forcing which I think it isn't). If double is penalty, pass is clear. I double is "forward" I would double.
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#19 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 08:00

Echognome, on Sep 3 2007, 10:48 AM, said:

I usually play opener + sound raise = forcing pass, but overcall + sound raise = not forcing pass. Not sure what's right or best.

Where did you get a sound raise?? :blink:

If responder wants to show a sound raise, he shouldn't go through a trial bid, he should bid 2NT. Now he's just trying for a distributional game => NO sound raise => NO forcing pass. :)
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#20 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2007-September-03, 12:26

Free, on Sep 3 2007, 06:00 AM, said:

Echognome, on Sep 3 2007, 10:48 AM, said:

I usually play opener + sound raise = forcing pass, but overcall + sound raise = not forcing pass.  Not sure what's right or best.

Where did you get a sound raise?? :blink:

If responder wants to show a sound raise, he shouldn't go through a trial bid, he should bid 2NT. Now he's just trying for a distributional game => NO sound raise => NO forcing pass. :)

But this is exactly my point. The question is what is 3♣ to you? Is it a "trial" in that it is invitational only? Or is it just a forcing bid that is invitational or better? To me it means the latter and that is why I believe it is equivalent to a sound raise, for what is a sound raise other than an invitational or better hand?
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