Posted 2007-August-05, 12:28
Not so many takers. Oh well. Here's the analysis anyway...
In 4♠:
The lead is weird. You expected a diamond lead, but got a club. This screams stiff. With a stiff diamond as well, the diamond lead is stand-out. The correction to hearts over diamonds suggests, then, a doubleton diamond and long majors. With both majors, equal, you'd expect a XX, so you expect a LHO pattern of 4621. With that pattern, white on red, you'd expect a 2♥ overcall, unless LHO has absolute junk. So, LHO rates to have something like ♠xxxx ♥QJxxxx ♦xx ♣x, giving RHO ♠QJx ♥x ♦AQJxxx ♣Kxx.
The goal seems to be, therefore, to make 4♠ by taking four clubs, two hearts, one diamond, and three spades. Weird combo, you ask?
One line is to play spade-spade-spade, with RHO in. He will probably then give LHO a club ruff and get a diamond back. That kills your chances. What you need is for LHO, when in, to not lead a diamond. How to do this???
It seems like the best chance is to get LHO to commit immediately. When you pop club Jack, it turns out in practice that this is covered. So, you win and fire back the club Queen at trick two.
If LHO expects you to be void in diamonds, with something like 5305 (what you should have, perhaps), he may get greedy (hoping for a heart from partner). In any event, a heart back at trick 3 looks more likely than in the late game.
If you get that, you win and play spade-spade-spade, throwing RHO in (you now have the boss spade). He will not have no hearts left, and no spades. He will desperately try a club back, won in dummy. You now play the diamond 10, which RHO wins. He's now down to all diamonds. If he plays the Ace, you ruff, cross to dummy, cash the diamond King, cross back with the second heart, and claim. If he plays small back, you let it ride.
Back up a tad. If RHO ducks the diamond 10 (good play), let it ride and pray.
Back up even further. You may very well make five on this silly hand. RHO, if he sees what is coming, may jettison the Q-J of spades under the A-K, hoping that his partner has the 9. You then pull the last trumps from the opponents, club to dummy, and run the diamond 10 again.
Neat hand, eh?
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The trick at 5♣ is to not try to cash a second high heart. There is a line of opening leads and follow-ups where Declarer may need to play a small heart, giving LHO an unexpected heart trick, to avoid losing control.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."
-P.J. Painter.