jillybean2, on Jun 26 2007, 10:26 AM, said:
This article suggests that your frequency of 1NT with a singleton needs to be less than 1%. It is not clear to me: 1% of what?
Certainly if it is 1% of all your opening bids (as opposed to your 1NT openings), you would be well under this limit. Unless you're opening 8-18 NT's with off shapes or something

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But if it is 1% of 1NT openings then you would not be able to open 1NT with 4441 every time you had a singleton Ace, King or Queen. Probably even one of those options would be too much.
I looked at some basic probabilities, and if you were to include all 4441 hands in 1NT they would be between 5-7% of your 1NT openings, depending on if you include 5 card majors (5332) or not. If you figure a high honor is worth 3 HCP on average (ignoring jacks), a 15-17 NT will have about 5 honors. This suggests roughly a 5/13 chance (lower obviously with a weak NT range) that you'll have a singleton honor if you have a 4441 shape, cutting your relative singleton probability even further. At this point you could certainly get under their 1% threshold by opening only 1
♠444 shapes (since these have bad rebids sometimes) for example.
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This is true even if the ACBL choose to say that a natural 1NT will not have a singleton.
This must be a reinterpretation of the rules against non-standard bidders (am I surprised?) since the GCC clearly says
GCC said:
a notrump opening or overcall is natural if not unbalanced (generally, no singleton or void and only one or two doubletons).
To me "generally" no singleton would mean it's pretty unlikely, and I would certainly think that something that happened once out of 20 1NT openings (5%) or less would be sufficiently unlikely to meet this standard. Heck, apparently I'm allowed to have a void(!) under GCC, just not "generally" which sure seems more extreme (in terms of warning the opponents) than an odd singleton honor. The GCC wording seems like a much looser and more reasonable standard than this arbitrary 1% rule. Then again, maybe you should play your 1NT with singletons and if anyone complains, challenge the director or opps to prove it was more likely than 1%!
Regardless of the ACBL stance on singletons in
1NT (which is not "standard" bidding in the ACBL), I bet they'd be singing a different tune if you started coming down with regulatory penalties,etc, on top players for opening a strong
2NT with a singleton. I bet if you give a hand like
A or K stiff
AQxx
KQJx
AJxx
to a panel of experts almost every one of them is going to be bidding 2NT (20-21). As a matter of practice, I'm sure that the experts open 2NT with a singleton more than 1% of the time, so the ACBL rule seems pretty hypocritical to me.
Stephen Tu, on Jun 26 2007, 11:41 AM, said:
So I just go on opening 1nt on a singleton whenever I think it's best, ACBL can bite me.
This seems like a practical solution

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