mikeh said:
I'm with the 3N bidders, whether BAM, mp or imps. If given this hand after a transfer then 3N, my guess is that 75% (or more) of expert players would pass.
True. That's not the problem. The problem is would you also bid 3N if the auction started transfer then 3
♣ or 3
♦? The problem we have here is we don't know if responder is 1=5=3=4, 3=5=1=4, 2=5=4=2, etc.
mikeh said:
Wild horses could not get me to bid 3♠. Partner has (conveniently) denied 4+♠s. Which suit is LHO going to lead with roughly equivalent holdings if I bid a quiet 3N? Which suit is he leading after my revealing 3♠?
No one suggested bidding 3
♠ UNLESS responder could have 4
♠. It certainly wasn't clear from the original post. Now that we know that responder has denied 4
♠, it is certainly a question of whether to bid 3N or 4
♥.
mikeh said:
Note this analysis depends, for its logic, on the assumption that 3♥ was (relatively) unlimited.
Note that the poster said 3
♥ showed a MINIMUM GF hand. I presume that means responder cannot have a hand with slam interest. If so, then it changes the problem somewhat as you suggest.