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Another bid judgement

#21 User is offline   cnszsun 

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Posted 2006-December-21, 18:55

Very instructive discussion, i got a lot from it.
I jumped to 6 at table because i don't want to bid rkc with a void and other bids could be ambigious to my pick-up partner (he is a BBO star), but now i think justin's 4nt is very practical, partner almost surely have Ace for his 4 bid. By bidding 4nt, grand slam interest can be expressed later and also slight chance to stop at 5 if partner is missing two minor Aces.
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#22 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2006-December-21, 19:48

My take is on this deal is very similar to Justin's, although my statement of more general slam-exploration theory would apparently be different as I am more inclined to make cooperative cuebids than seems to be expressed in his statement of theory.

On this deal, partner's 2 call was nothing exciting, possibly even a convenience bid initially. So, I see little point to doing anything except what Justin suggested -- staying low, flexible, and honest. After 3, however, the analysis changes.

What is 3? I doubt that it simply shows a 3154 pattern. With that pattern, one could probably bid 2NT with many ugly GF hands, planning to correct 3 to 3NT, if the spade stop is quality and/or the slam prospects for the minors are poor. Thus, whereas 3 first creates a guess of 3154 pattern, or better, I am also inclined to believe that minor suit quality is sound or better and that spades are not a great source of wastage (unless compensating values exist), something hinted at by Justin.

So, I comfortably bid 3. Partner now bid 3NT. I still figure partner for quality in his suits. With AJ-A alone, only 5-4, I myself would probably bid 2NT, planning to bid 3 as a mild slam try if Opener bids 3 or makes a delayed raise of diamonds (3). So, I anticipate something like A-AQ or AQ-A in the minors, possibly as bad as QJxxx-AQxx, for the 3NT call.

I then make a clearly right call of 4. How can this be wrong?

At this point, the story unfolds well. Partner cuebids 4. This is cooperative, perhaps. But, the big story missed is the failure of partner to cuebids trumps (by bidding 4). I expect, therefore, either Axxxx-AQxx in the minors, or possibly QJxxx-AQxx. He would have done that to allow me to use 4 (I would insist on this) as RKCB for diamonds and to tell me that his diamonds are good ones.

This failure, and the 4 call (apparently a cue in the techniques), convinces me that partner has something like AJ10 x Axxxx AQxx or AJ10 x QJxxx AQxx. Opposite either, 6 seems to be a good contract. 7 might make opposite the former, but it does not seem "good." As I am afraid that 4NT is a signoff in this auction, I'll blast to 6.
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#23 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2006-December-21, 22:55

When I was a little tacker someone once gave me some good advice. That was "Support with support". I have followed that philosophy ever since. Hence my second bid would have been 3D. No one I ever played with or will ever play with bids 2D as a "convenience bid" by the way.
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