hrothgar, on Aug 14 2006, 12:29 AM, said:
kenrexford, on Aug 14 2006, 01:44 AM, said:
The likely distributional 6♦ slam would be something like Responder holding x-KJxx-xxxx-Kxxx. Stronger hands will be less a problem if 2NT is opened.
With that hand, the alternative auction is 1♦-P-1♥-P-2NT, if somehow the opponents forget about bidding spades. With this auction, we know little more about slam prospects and are probably less likely to sniff a slam than if 2NT is opened.
Sure, I picked a specific hand to illustrate the point. But, I would venture that diamonds are not better handled toward slam with the alternative route.
Seems to me that the fear of missing a diamond slam is an argument for not opening 2NT with strong balanced hands. It really doesn't seem relevant to the decision to open 2NT with this particular balanced hand.
Case in point: Change your hand to
♠ Q8
♥ AQ6
♦ AKQT5
♣ AT6
Which clearly is 20-21 balanced....
How do you find the Diamond slam after opening 2NT on hand two but not find it on the original one.
One is trying to balance a lot of things here: Getting to a good game, getting to the best game, staying out of bad games, getting to good slams etc etc.
Each bid helps or hinders each one of these to some degree. Obviously the weaker the hand is, the less chance there is of missing a good game by opening 1
♦, so maybe the few extra slams you get to are enough to compensate for missing those games. But if the hand is stronger, then missing game becomes much more likely, but maybe the slam does not become that much more likely (I really do not have an accurate "feel" for the respective numbers in this case). But if that is the case then you gain by opening the stronger hand 2NT to reach those games, and also gain by opening the weaker hand 1
♦ because of the slams.