What would you open this hand and why Opinions please
#21
Posted 2006-August-13, 13:38
2NT as the opening seems right on target, especially if forced to describe this bid as "20-21." If electing to be forced to describe this opening as "21-22," I'd still open 2NT.
I am guessing, but I'd venture a small wager that 2NT loses to 5D as the only making game fewer times than we score up +150 or +180 when I open 1♦ and rebid 2NT.
-P.J. Painter.
#22
Posted 2006-August-13, 14:27
kenrexford, on Aug 13 2006, 07:38 PM, said:
2NT as the opening seems right on target, especially if forced to describe this bid as "20-21." If electing to be forced to describe this opening as "21-22," I'd still open 2NT.
I am guessing, but I'd venture a small wager that 2NT loses to 5D as the only making game fewer times than we score up +150 or +180 when I open 1♦ and rebid 2NT.
What about the times we get to 6♦ because we opened 1♦?
#23
Posted 2006-August-13, 16:13
pclayton, on Aug 13 2006, 06:23 PM, said:
Fantunes play 21-22...
#24
Posted 2006-August-13, 16:23
And Fantunes play good, old-fashioned sound openers, none of this reckless modern stuff
Peter
#25
Posted 2006-August-13, 16:44
With that hand, the alternative auction is 1♦-P-1♥-P-2NT, if somehow the opponents forget about bidding spades. With this auction, we know little more about slam prospects and are probably less likely to sniff a slam than if 2NT is opened.
Sure, I picked a specific hand to illustrate the point. But, I would venture that diamonds are not better handled toward slam with the alternative route.
-P.J. Painter.
#26
Posted 2006-August-13, 18:22
I really try not to upgrade strong opening hands, but this one has more trick taking potential than many scattered 20 HCP hands so that is a plus for upgrading to 2NT. A minus is the wide open spade suit.
All things considered, I lean towards upgrading to 2NT, and especially if playing some decent methods to find minor suit slams after opening 2NT.
#27
Posted 2006-August-13, 18:29
kenrexford, on Aug 14 2006, 01:44 AM, said:
With that hand, the alternative auction is 1♦-P-1♥-P-2NT, if somehow the opponents forget about bidding spades. With this auction, we know little more about slam prospects and are probably less likely to sniff a slam than if 2NT is opened.
Sure, I picked a specific hand to illustrate the point. But, I would venture that diamonds are not better handled toward slam with the alternative route.
Seems to me that the fear of missing a diamond slam is an argument for not opening 2NT with strong balanced hands. It really doesn't seem relevant to the decision to open 2NT with this particular balanced hand.
Case in point: Change your hand to
♠ Q8
♥ AQ6
♦ AKQT5
♣ AT6
Which clearly is 20-21 balanced....
How do you find the Diamond slam after opening 2NT on hand two but not find it on the original one.
#28
Posted 2006-August-13, 19:52
-P.J. Painter.
#29
Posted 2006-August-13, 23:18
It may vary as a function of dataset (player pool) but judging from Ritong's post in the other thread, I would bet not.
Stephen

co-founder HomeBase Club, author of BRidgeBRowser
#30
Posted 2006-August-13, 23:41
pbleighton, on Aug 13 2006, 09:38 AM, said:
Peter
I have the same question, too.
Either opening 2NT or 1D and then 2NT is OK with me. I prefer 2NT though.
#31
Posted 2006-August-14, 01:29
hrothgar, on Aug 14 2006, 12:29 AM, said:
kenrexford, on Aug 14 2006, 01:44 AM, said:
With that hand, the alternative auction is 1♦-P-1♥-P-2NT, if somehow the opponents forget about bidding spades. With this auction, we know little more about slam prospects and are probably less likely to sniff a slam than if 2NT is opened.
Sure, I picked a specific hand to illustrate the point. But, I would venture that diamonds are not better handled toward slam with the alternative route.
Seems to me that the fear of missing a diamond slam is an argument for not opening 2NT with strong balanced hands. It really doesn't seem relevant to the decision to open 2NT with this particular balanced hand.
Case in point: Change your hand to
♠ Q8
♥ AQ6
♦ AKQT5
♣ AT6
Which clearly is 20-21 balanced....
How do you find the Diamond slam after opening 2NT on hand two but not find it on the original one.
One is trying to balance a lot of things here: Getting to a good game, getting to the best game, staying out of bad games, getting to good slams etc etc.
Each bid helps or hinders each one of these to some degree. Obviously the weaker the hand is, the less chance there is of missing a good game by opening 1♦, so maybe the few extra slams you get to are enough to compensate for missing those games. But if the hand is stronger, then missing game becomes much more likely, but maybe the slam does not become that much more likely (I really do not have an accurate "feel" for the respective numbers in this case). But if that is the case then you gain by opening the stronger hand 2NT to reach those games, and also gain by opening the weaker hand 1♦ because of the slams.

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