kenberg, on Aug 1 2006, 07:16 AM, said:
BTW, 2H seems odd to me. Over 1C he chose neither 1H nor 2H but now, when it is easier to double for penalties, he wants to come in with 2H. I can't recall ever having done this myself. Seems nuts.
I'm going to assume that the opp had a good reason for not bidding 1
♥ or Xing the first time. That would have to be points or shape.
Most people would bid 1
♥ with 9 or even 8 hcp. If the bidding had gone P-P-1C-P-1S-P-1NT I'd think that he was 'borrowing' points from partner, because both hands are limited, but in this case, since the 1
♠ bidder is unlimited, it can't be that.
So I think it must be shape. He didn't bid 1
♥ because they don't do 4 card overcalls. He has a good hand - too good to pass at 1NT - but couldn't bid 1
♥ the first time.
So why didn't he double the first or second time? The first time, it would have shown tolerence for diamonds, hearts, and spades. The second time, it would have shown tolerence for diamonds and hearts. He couldn't do it either time, and he bid hearts, so he must have no tolerence for diamonds. I think his hand is something like:
KTx
KQTx
xx
AQTx
Not strong enough to bid 1NT, wrong shape for 1
♥, and no good rebid if his partner had responded to an X with diamonds. He's stuck the first time, and the second, but couldn't bring himself to pass 1NT with such a good hand.
If that's the case, then I don't want to bid 2
♠. If partner has 3 spades he doesn't need encouragement to bid them, and if he has two it looks unlikely that we'll be able to develop anything in the minors. I don't think 2 spades is going to make unless partner can bid them without my help, and the vunlerability is wrong for bidding an unmakeable contract.
That would leave pass and X. I think my three hearts to the A is golden. We're always going to be able to get at least one ruff, and 13+14+10=37, looks to me like the 2
♥ bidder's partner is pretty close to a bust, so they're going to have serious entry problems. I don't think he'll take an X by me to be a 4 card heart suit, not if we play up the line. So if he has good hearts he'll likely leave it in, and if he doesn't he'll likely pull to 2
♠ if he has even two of them, since I won't take him for 3. So I'll X, though pass is close.
A long winded excuse for not making the obvious bid. Oh well.