Clues from the bidding
#1
Posted 2006-July-12, 17:03
A little voice comes on inside your head and says:
"We have roughly 22-24 points and 8 hearts. The opponents have 16-18 and have overcalled 1♠. There is an excellent chance that pard has 3 or 4 spades, since RHO didn't raise and LHO didn't rebid a 6 bagger. Accordingly, while game looks right on values, the worry about pard holding duplicated spade length is enough of a reason to pass 3♥".
Agree or disagree, and what is your decision over 3♥?
#2
Posted 2006-July-13, 00:32
But I'm bidding 4♥ anyway. I'd be much more concerned if I held a spade honor, because it seems likely to be a worthless card. As things stand, partner could have something like:
AQx Axxx xx Jxxx
Nothing particularly good about this hand, but the spades are well positioned. I expect to lose one heart, one diamond, and either a club or a spade. Of course, the hearts could break badly, but there's no strong reason to expect them to.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#3
Posted 2006-July-13, 01:28
But: I'm bidding 4♥ here. FTL speaks it could be good (and "be optimistic" is a part of FTL). I have some nice points and partner invites, maybe I don't use FTL at all, I just bid 4♥.
#4
Posted 2006-July-13, 01:33
was in the past, if it was great, I would
follow the advice, i.e. pass, if not, after
all I am male, I would simply bid 4H.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#5
Posted 2006-July-13, 01:59
awm, on Jul 13 2006, 08:32 AM, said:
AQx Axxx xx Jxxx
I do not chase borderline games NV at IMPs, and I don't think partner can have the hand Adam shows. That hand would be more suited for a 2NT rebid. At least that gives me some useful info: I've got spade values on a relatively balanced hand.
3♥ is a general invite, yes, but it's not very helpful. He has 2♠, 2NT, 3♣ and 3♦ available as game tries, and yet he chose neither.
I don't believe in game and I pass.
Roland
#6
Posted 2006-July-13, 02:22
Kxx, Txxx, AJxx, Ax
Quite the difference. So I bid 4♥.
#7
Posted 2006-July-13, 02:38
I hate trying to be too clever and double-guessing how many spades partner has got to base my decision. I just look at my hand.
Anyway surely he has the same inferences about my spade length and he has still invited.
#8
Posted 2006-July-13, 03:00
However, is it worth to try 3NT?
#9
Posted 2006-July-13, 03:20
#10
Posted 2006-July-13, 04:29
Walddk, on Jul 13 2006, 08:59 AM, said:
I don't believe in game and I pass.
Roland
So let's work out what sort of hand he has to bid 3H rather than make one of these other game tries, rather than say he's not been helpful.
He didn't bid 2NT, so he hasn't got a lot of soft spade values (although he could have the Ace or the AQ/AK).
He didn't bid 2S - but he might think 2S is game forcing and he might be concerned that we would think he didn't have four hearts. (I think 2S is game forcing - just because you have so many other ways to invite - but I don't think it's obvious).
He didn't bid 3m, so he won't have concentrated honours in one minor to the detriment of the other.
So what's he got? I can think of two hand types:
i) A five card heart suit that wasn't good enough to bid 2H (possibly because it had weak hearts and honours outside) with honour in both minors - something like
Kx
J10xxx
Qxx
Kxx
(whether he can have more than this depends on your minimum for a forcing 2H bid)
ii) Good hearts and, again, values in each minor
xxx
AQxx
Qx
Kxxx
We don't want to be in game opposite this hand, we do opposite the first one.
Seems a bit of a toss-up. Game isn't going to be cold, but it's quite likely to have play. So I really don't feel strongly either way.
#11
Posted 2006-July-13, 09:25
I feel like my decision is the cat in Schrodinger's box... I'll need to open the lid to find out if I'm in 3 or 4♥... it's sort of random on this hand.
#12
Posted 2006-July-13, 09:31
The entire hand:
The little voice came on AFTER I bid 4♥.
Note that the actual hand was pretty darn close to the layout Frances suggested.
#13
Posted 2006-July-13, 11:19
#14
Posted 2006-July-13, 11:46
hatchett, on Jul 13 2006, 05:19 PM, said:
8 losers and it's imps.. invitation definitely is in the pic. The only reason not to invite is ♠xxx, and advancer not raising. Makes it quite possible that opener will have ♠Kxx or ♠Qxx. But that's a bit of masterminding... opener can also pass an invite with those holdings.
It's not an exact science. Next time South passes the invite and 4♥ turns out to be cold.. oops.
#15
Posted 2006-July-13, 11:50
Quote
It's not an exact science. Next time South passes the invite and 4♥ turns out to be cold.. oops.
It's an NV game. I am almost certainly opposite a weak NT, so we are somewhere between 21 and 24 high with 2 balanced hands, an eight card trump fit and I have no fitting honor in partner's suit. I would pass 2♥
#16
Posted 2006-July-13, 12:32
pclayton, on Jul 13 2006, 10:31 AM, said:
The entire hand:
The little voice came on AFTER I bid 4♥.
Note that the actual hand was pretty darn close to the layout Frances suggested.
Nope: the vial broke just before I was going to bid 4♥... it was the auction that died (in 3♥), not the contract
#17
Posted 2006-July-13, 14:17
I note the opening hand is an 8LTC hand with no useful tens or nines, no shortness, AQ in a short suit and 3 worthless cards in the enemy suit.
In FTL I am guessing my shortsuit total=4 which means I need 22 working hpc to bid 4H which is possible? On the actual hands we have 21 so that means you need to make a great FTL whcp guess.
#18
Posted 2006-July-13, 14:36
pclayton, on Jul 12 2006, 06:03 PM, said:
A little voice comes on inside your head and says:
"We have roughly 22-24 points and 8 hearts. The opponents have 16-18 and have overcalled 1♠. There is an excellent chance that pard has 3 or 4 spades, since RHO didn't raise and LHO didn't rebid a 6 bagger. Accordingly, while game looks right on values, the worry about pard holding duplicated spade length is enough of a reason to pass 3♥".
Agree or disagree, and what is your decision over 3♥?
Yeah 3 cards in LHO suit is always bad when RHO doesn't raise. As is scattered honors, short suit honors, etc. None of those issues are overwheleming but they all add up to making this hand a clear pass over 3H.
#19
Posted 2006-July-14, 07:42
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#20
Posted 2006-July-14, 18:28
With 11-13 I would pass 3♥..but with 14+ I would press the gas...
For me AQ in partners !c; I may get a discard and get to cross ruff ♦ and ♣..
For some reason...I would expect 2(Kx/Ax) or 1(x)♠ in p's hand ..not 3...Why would he invite without something attractive...
All systems are go Scotty
Hey ..you win some, you loose some...You have the points, although distribution of the cards may be cruel..

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