Your lead? Opinions on the lead
#1
Posted 2006-June-24, 08:01
You hold:
Q96
T83
J876
J42
RHO opens 1C (2+) and the bidding proceeds
1C 1H
1NT 2NT
3NT
Upon enquiry, opps inform you 1NT may have 4 card S.
Your lead? How close a decision is it?
Thanks all!
#2
Posted 2006-June-24, 08:12
bridgeboy, on Jun 24 2006, 05:01 PM, said:
You hold:
Q96
T83
J876
J42
RHO opens 1C (2+) and the bidding proceeds
1C 1H
1NT 2NT
3NT
Upon enquiry, opps inform you 1NT may have 4 card S.
Your lead? How close a decision is it?
Thanks all!
This is a rough one
I like short suit leads against NT and I considered leading a low Spade. However, partner should be sitting on (roughly) 11-12 HCP and couldn't find a call after (1♣) - P - (1♥). If partner has a 5 card suit, its not in Spades. Accordingly, I don't like underleading my Queen.
I'm gonna go passive and leave the 8 of Diamonds.
#3
Posted 2006-June-24, 08:27
#4
Posted 2006-June-24, 08:46
I recently got nailed by a pro playing with a client by something looking a bit like your question.
J654
QJ42
J7
T53
Bidding
1H(client) P(me) 1S(pro) P(partner)
1NT P 3NT end
The pro had two small spades and a 15 count. I should have led my spades.
co-founder HomeBase Club, author of BRidgeBRowser
#5
Posted 2006-June-24, 10:25
Higher D indicating I got nothing in the suit=Attitude lead vs NT, not 4th best.
#6
Posted 2006-June-24, 11:49
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#7
Posted 2006-June-24, 12:05
#8
Posted 2006-June-24, 14:50
A heart lead is apt to give very little away but a lead in any other suit could be disastrous. While I think any heart is liable to work out ok, the 10 is probably the best one to lead. If I lead a low one, partner might actually think I like hearts.
Its not even close to leading anything else.
(And I dont consider a diamond lead to be passive given this auction).
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#9
Posted 2006-June-24, 15:59
My thinking is similar to others - partner is marked with some cards but could not get in over 1H so he does not rate to hold 5 decent spades. He may have diamond length and not enough to overcall at the 2-level but my length in diamonds seems to indicate that is not the case. He probably has a smattering in both hearts and clubs, probably something like 3424 shape and a club lead at least works on our 4/3 fit without giving declarer something undeserved it looks - and it could be that partner is 2335 or 3325 in which case a club is our best suit.
Winston
#10
Posted 2006-June-24, 19:17
bid_em_up, on Jun 24 2006, 12:50 PM, said:
A heart lead is apt to give very little away but a lead in any other suit could be disastrous. While I think any heart is liable to work out ok, the 10 is probably the best one to lead. If I lead a low one, partner might actually think I like hearts.
Its not even close to leading anything else.
(And I dont consider a diamond lead to be passive given this auction).
Agree 100%. I think I like the ♥8 instead of the 3, because it gives pard a better picture of the hand. My hand isn't the strong one, and pard will be making the key decisions about the hand, so I don't want to fool pard into thinking I have heart strength.
Textbook situation to go passive.
#11
Posted 2006-June-26, 11:09
diamonds.
it would be of greater interest, if responder
could have a 4 card o longer diamond suit,
i.e. do they play Walsh?
A corrollary would have been the information
you have got.
Even if they play Walsh I would go with diamond,
but if you ask, please ask the correct questions.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#12
Posted 2006-June-26, 11:26
I think I join the chorus of going passive, and the most passive lead here is a heart. I would lead the 8 at the table, it is not in the list, so I vote for the 3, but any heart is better than any of the alternatives.
#13
Posted 2006-June-26, 11:28
Bit of a blind guess, really. Anything can work. Even a club.. lol.
#14
Posted 2006-June-26, 14:12
#15
Posted 2006-June-27, 00:58
The full hand was
Both defenders chose to lead the T of H (Perhaps catering for 9x in declarer's hand) and after East won with the Q, looking at dummy's D holding, quite understandably, they continued with a H. (I suppose 8 of h would have discouraged them from doing so)
I have not fully analysed the hand but I think it takes a D lead or a D switch after the Q of H to defeat the contract. (if declarer takes the right view on the hand)
I was just interested in how passive one should go in such cases. I agree the book calls for a passive lead, but in view of the good breaks lying around, it does seems that if declarer has all the timing, he should be able to scramble enough tricks.
Thus, I would have favoured the majority choice of a D lead.. although I really hate to lead from Jacks
#16
Posted 2006-June-28, 00:38
And I dislike the original Heart lead and had prefered 4. highest from my longeest and strongest. But this is easy to say after seeing the complete hand.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#17
Posted 2006-June-28, 00:54

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