Help
Your powerful hand:
Tx,QJ642,543,JT2
LHO RHO
1d 1s
1N 2c* (new minor)
2s 4s
Opps playing strong NT, vanilla SAYC of course.
Your lead? Is it a guess?
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Is this a guess?
#1
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Posted 2003-November-04, 07:00
The legend of the black octogon.
#2
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Posted 2003-November-04, 07:38
Yes it seems a guess if 2C was new minor forcing and artifiical. RHO has 5S and may have a diamond fit, may not. May have a club suit, may not. May have a 4 card heart suit, may not.
This is likely the only time I will be on lead, so I have to give some thought to helping partner get off the endplay when he wins tricks in diamonds and/or spades. This suggest a possible heart Queen opening lead. On the other hand, if the 2C bid was with 5-4 in the majors, dummy will have only two or maybe 3 hearts and leading the heart queen might help them a lot.
In final analysis, I will guess to lead the spade Ten.
This is likely the only time I will be on lead, so I have to give some thought to helping partner get off the endplay when he wins tricks in diamonds and/or spades. This suggest a possible heart Queen opening lead. On the other hand, if the 2C bid was with 5-4 in the majors, dummy will have only two or maybe 3 hearts and leading the heart queen might help them a lot.
In final analysis, I will guess to lead the spade Ten.
--Ben--
#3
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Posted 2003-November-04, 07:49
I will lead HQ, hoping pd has ha, if I win HQ, then switch to cJ.
#4
- mmm Duvel
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Posted 2003-November-04, 14:54
I've seen it happen so many times that leading from QJxxx gives away a trick to A10x and Kx by opponents. I'll lead D4, as alternative to Sx or a C...
"It may be rude to leave to go to the bathroom, but it's downright stupid to sit there and piss yourself" - blackshoe
#5
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Posted 2003-November-04, 16:05
I would like to know whether openers priority over 2C is to support spades or to bid a 4 card heart suit (I cannot see that one agreement is clearly superior over the other).
In any case opener probably has a real diamond suit unless he is 3433 and chose not to bid hearts. I guess with 5 (or more) diamonds and three spades he might have raised 1S to 2S so the most likely handshapes are 3343 or 3244 (3433 and 3442 also being possible, with 3253 and 3352 probably less likely still).
As nothing screams that declarer is going to be ruffing things in dummy I think I'll steer well away from a trump as it might solve some problems for declarer. For similar reasons I won't lead a diamond as it might help declarer establish dummy's suit and I cannot see that this lead will do much for the defence.
My choice is between hearts and clubs. I don't think that there's much in it but I'll try the HQ (aiming to establish a couple of hearts perhaps).
Could equally come up with situations where a low heart or CJ is necessary.
In any case opener probably has a real diamond suit unless he is 3433 and chose not to bid hearts. I guess with 5 (or more) diamonds and three spades he might have raised 1S to 2S so the most likely handshapes are 3343 or 3244 (3433 and 3442 also being possible, with 3253 and 3352 probably less likely still).
As nothing screams that declarer is going to be ruffing things in dummy I think I'll steer well away from a trump as it might solve some problems for declarer. For similar reasons I won't lead a diamond as it might help declarer establish dummy's suit and I cannot see that this lead will do much for the defence.
My choice is between hearts and clubs. I don't think that there's much in it but I'll try the HQ (aiming to establish a couple of hearts perhaps).
Could equally come up with situations where a low heart or CJ is necessary.
#6
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Posted 2003-November-04, 17:51
club 10... and yes, it's a guess
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
#7
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Posted 2003-November-05, 01:09
guess it is !!! (as many lead after all ) Q of H will give the contract ? ok , be it , it's my lead
regards
syl
regards
syl
#8
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Posted 2003-November-05, 05:48
Quote
guess it is !!! (as many lead after all ) Q of H will give the contract ? ok , be it , it's my lead
regards
syl
regards
syl
I would lead QH also,
. Maybe it is guess.
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