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Hand evaluation worth an invite?

#1 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 03:29


1NT* - 2
2 - ?

Partner starts with 1NT (14-16), you transfer to , partner just accepts, opps being quiet. Do you try something or not?
- at imps?
- at MP's?
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#2 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 05:15

I pass.
(Well in fact I'd have responded 3 pre-emptive to 1NT, but not many people play that method.)
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#3 User is offline   zasanya 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 05:22

Pass at any form of scoring.Once in a blue moon there could be a game but you will gain far more often by passing.
Aniruddha
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#4 User is offline   000002 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 05:36

Try! why not ?
a 6cards suiter has extra 4 estimation points when it's fit,and the side suit has extra contribution too.
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#5 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 06:57

I would bid 3 if playing 15-17. Now I am not so sure, not familiar with the range :/. Lets pass.
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#6 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 07:47

Funny hand. If pard has all of his 14-16 points working, you make 4 easy. If not, you might have to struggle to make 2. Since I'm an optimist, at imps I'll bid 4, though only if pard knows how to play them.
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#7 User is offline   Joe de Balliol 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 08:05

From the phrase "just accepts" I take it pard can super-accept, in which case I pass at either form of scoring - though if pard knows how to play them and we want to extract the maximum against a weak team I might give it another go at IMPs.

J
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#8 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 08:46

I wish I had the spade J - then I'd have a no loser spade suit 1/2 the time opposite xxx. Without that card, I think it's too speculative to go on, although the shape is very tempting - 6/4 patterns tend to produce a lot of tricks and LTC encourages game. It seems awfully close.

With the spade jack I would have bid Texas; without I'm going to pass in hopes that this is one of those hands where LTC is wrong.

Winston
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#9 User is offline   000002 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 08:52

HI,winstonm
could you tell me what is LTC meaning?
thank you
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#10 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 09:09

000002, on Jan 8 2006, 09:52 AM, said:

HI,winstonm
could you tell me what is LTC meaning?
thank you

Losing Trick Count. A lot of variations so I'll just cover the basic concept without all the side issues. Ace, King, and Q are counted as 1 loser each so you have 12 total losers in any one hand.

AQ109xx - 1 loser, the King
x 1 loser, A
10xxx 3 losers, A, K, Q
xx 2 losers, A,K

Total is 7 losers. Add this number to partner's expected losers (6 or 7 for an opening NT) and subtract this total from 24. 7+7=14. 24-14=10. LTC says that 10 tricks should be available.

Winston
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#11 User is offline   goodwintr 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 10:24

Keri -- a method mentioned elsewhere in this forum -- has a way to show a six-card suit missing one high honor, which permits opener to step lightly on 3NT if he has the missing honor and three fast tricks elsewhere. As I recall it, Keri does this in a minor suit by responding 2C, then rebidding three of the long minor. I don't remember how the method does it in a major suit. My own (unofficial!) gloss on Keri in this area is to respond three of the long suit, whether it is a major or a minor, with HHxxxx and hopes that partner can bid 3NT with the missing honor and enough on the side. (I play weak notrumps, so 1NT-3X implies a side card as well as the six-card suit: it is too much to expect a weak-notrump opener to fill in the long suit and produce three more tricks.) One advantage of the method is that it lands in the contract you want to play if opener doesn't convert to 3NT.
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#12 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 11:27

goodwintr, on Jan 8 2006, 08:24 AM, said:

Keri -- a method mentioned elsewhere in this forum -- has a way to show a six-card suit missing one high honor, which permits opener to step lightly on 3NT if he has the missing honor and three fast tricks elsewhere. As I recall it, Keri does this in a minor suit by responding 2C, then rebidding three of the long minor. I don't remember how the method does it in a major suit. My own (unofficial!) gloss on Keri in this area is to respond three of the long suit, whether it is a major or a minor, with HHxxxx and hopes that partner can bid 3NT with the missing honor and enough on the side. (I play weak notrumps, so 1NT-3X implies a side card as well as the six-card suit: it is too much to expect a weak-notrump opener to fill in the long suit and produce three more tricks.) One advantage of the method is that it lands in the contract you want to play if opener doesn't convert to 3NT.

1N - 2 - 2 - 3 minor in Keri is just invitational. Its non-specific on # of honors.

Thats the original version of Keri anyway. The newer version (where 2 isn't automatic over 2) might play 3 minor as 2/3 honors.

With the subject hand, I'd certainly Texas over a 15-17 NT, and I probably would over a 14-16 as well. This hand evaluates real good on a ZAR / K and R basis and I would think there are many hands where game is excellent but pard doesn't accept an invite.
"Phil" on BBO
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#13 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-January-08, 14:23

I would texas at imps and transfer-pass at MP. I don't think this is a good candidate for an invite, we can never get partner to know that his diamond holding is what's crucial, or that club honors are better than heart honors.
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#14 User is offline   Kalvan14 

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Posted 2006-January-08, 20:26

Texas at both MP and IMP. There are a lot of hands that can be useful, and defense is often far from accurate. I agree that this is not an invitational bid.
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#15 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 00:09

I'd texas red at imps and transfer to 2 and pass at mps or nv imps
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#16 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 00:15

I'd actually invite on this hand. Transfer and raise is a different kind of invite than rebidding 2NT. I expect partner to evaluate that:

(1) Trump honors and side quick tricks are good.
(2) Trump fit is good, side doubleton very good.
(3) Slow outside cards are bad, although 3NT maybe an outside shot.

There are "maximums" where I would decline this sort of invite, and "minimums" where I would accept. For example game is good opposite:

Kxx
Axxx
Axx
Axx

Game is lousy opposite:

xx
KQxx
KQx
AQJx

It's true that diamond honors are worth more than heart honors, and that partner won't be able to figure this out, but I think partner is well-equipped to bid game on the first of these hands and pass 3 on the second.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#17 User is offline   HeartA 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 02:09

Fluffy, on Jan 8 2006, 07:57 AM, said:

I would bid 3 if playing 15-17. Now I am not so sure, not familiar with the range :/. Lets pass.

I'd invite, too.
Senshu
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#18 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 03:33

I bid 3 and partner rather quickly bid 4. He made his contract, but I don't know what hand he had exactly (as dummy I don't remember all the cards :P ) I did saw K and A :D
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#19 User is offline   Flame 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 04:09

Id like to ask the experts who dont invite, is partner having 17 hcp instead of 15 doesnt increase the chances of the game to make ? is partner having 3(4) spades instead of only 2 increase the chances to make a game ?
I agree that he wont know exactly what good and what bad, but this isnt uniqe to this hand, and still know something.
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#20 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-January-09, 04:14

I am wondering how many of the replies missed that Free was playing 14-16 1NT, not 15-17.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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