[Free]

Somehow tnx to a HD failure, I lost my simulation program. I have a new problem, so could someone help me plz?

What's the frequency of:
- weak (<11HCP or <5 SlamPoints*) with at least 5-5♦-♣
- 6♣ with exactly 2 of 3 tophonours (AKQ) OR 7+♣ with 3 (or 4) out of 5 honours (AKQJT) but not AKQ

(*) Slampoints: A=3, K=2, Q=1, singleton K/Q=0

[pigpenz]

pm with the actual contraints that you want established for all four hands or the two hands that are bidding, i have found that putting in contraints for all four hands works better cause you stipulate that the opps dont have hands that they could overcall on.

[mikestar]

Free, on Sep 27 2005, 08:34 AM, said:

Somehow tnx to a HD failure, I lost my simulation program. I have a new problem, so could someone help me plz?

What's the frequency of:
- weak (<11HCP or <5 SlamPoints*) with at least 5-5♦-♣
- 6♣ with exactly 2 of 3 tophonours (AKQ) OR 7+♣ with 3 (or 4) out of 5 honours (AKQJT) but not AKQ

(*) Slampoints: A=3, K=2, Q=1, singleton K/Q=0

The probabilties of a given hand having:

1. 5+♦ and 5+♣ with <11 HCP = 0.5242%

2. 6♣ with 2 of top 3 honors and <11 points = 0.5705%

3. 7+♣ with 3 or 4 honors (not AKQ) and < 11 HCP = 0.2501%

4. Total of #2 and #3 = 0.8206%


Figures from Richard Pavilcek's deal generator, 100 million deals for each.


Later I will rerun with the SP constraints added--this reduces probabilities for all, but the relative probabilities will be similar.

[Free]

Tnx mike!