BPO-005D
#2
Posted 2005-September-20, 22:54
I think that 5D is likely to make and if it makes will almost certainly score better than 4S doubled. However, 5D may very well go down (spade lead and spade ruff would be a bad start) while 4SX is almost a certain plus score.
- hrothgar
#5
Posted 2005-September-20, 23:09
Jlall, on Sep 21 2005, 03:06 AM, said:
I would take it as to play, but dont know if i would choose this bid without a regular partner...
#7 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-20, 23:16
Beto, on Sep 21 2005, 12:09 AM, said:
Jlall, on Sep 21 2005, 03:06 AM, said:
I would take it as to play, but dont know if i would choose this bid without a regular partner...
Agree as I would take it as 2 places to play
#8
Posted 2005-September-20, 23:46
5D very close second choice and this was assuming 4nt was to play
I think 5d is such a close choice..but with all this 4nt confusion I am getting nervous. I thought 4nt was to play and simple..rats.
#9
Posted 2005-September-21, 00:57
5D.
For me, 4 NT would be artificial, allowing to differentiate
between good hands and weaer hand.
4 NT to play would never occur to me, if we can make
4NT, they will go down a lot in 4S, maybe only 500 when
we could have 630, but sometimes 1100.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#10
Posted 2005-September-21, 02:03
#11
Posted 2005-September-21, 03:42
#12
Posted 2005-September-21, 04:38
#13
Posted 2005-September-21, 06:04
I would have assumed that 4NT was showing two places to play, but even if I can bid it to play I prefer double.
#14
Posted 2005-September-21, 06:11
The is one of the thorniest bidding problems that I've ever seen. Lets make the reasonable assumption that 4S bidding is sitting on 8 Spades to the AQJ. He might have something on the outside. He might have a bid 6-5 or some such...
Declaring a Diamond contract is far too dangerous. We can virtually guarantee a defense starting with Spade to the Ace followed by a Spade ruff. If the defense has a second trick based on power, we're down in 5D. From my perspective, declaring a Diamond contract is equivalent to betting that LHO holds a Spade void...
4NT is very likely our best contract. Even if we can't bring home the Diamond suit, we should have enough strength to take 10 tricks. Unfortunately, we can't play 4NT. Since a double would be penalty, 4NT needs to be used for two suited takeout. If we were to bid 4NT, we're toast over a 5C (our 5D rebid would show the Reds. We don't have the right hand for 5S or 5N)
This leaves two fairly unpalatable bids. Double and 6N. The pessimists chose double, guaranteeing a plus score, though potentially not a very big one. Ridiculous optimists bid 6N. A lot of RHO's strength is wasted in Spades. Give partner a perfect sub-minimum like
S xx
H xxx
D Axx
C AKQxx
and 6N is on a hook...
Preempts work. You don't have remotely enough space to explore intelligently and its folly to pretend that you do. I'm feeling optimistic today, so I'm bidding 6N and hoping for the best...
#15
Posted 2005-September-21, 07:25
I admire the 6NT bidders. It is not unlikely that it will make. It is also not unlikely that it will go down 7, perhaps doubled.
- hrothgar
#16
Posted 2005-September-21, 07:33
HeartA, on Sep 21 2005, 05:14 AM, said:
6D runs the risk of losing on opening Ace of spades and spades ruff.
If I had to bid a slam here I'd overbid 6NT hoping to pick up the needed tricks in the minors making use of the distributional info available.
If not 6NT I'd just double
#17
Posted 2005-September-21, 07:52
I felt this a worthy problem to discuss the meaning of 4NT. It is clear the Brazilian pair played this 4NT as natural and would be a nice a treatment on this particular hand. The hand was also intereting from a hand evaluation standpoint. After a natural 4NT and partner bidding 5♦ showing ♦, south still passed. I think this goes a long way to address the slam potential on this hand. The 6♦ and 6NT bidders are taking too big a gamble imho.
#18
Posted 2005-September-21, 08:03
inquiry, on Sep 21 2005, 04:52 PM, said:
Once again, a link would be nice to see the hands in question...
#19
Posted 2005-September-21, 08:08
hrothgar, on Sep 21 2005, 10:03 AM, said:
inquiry, on Sep 21 2005, 04:52 PM, said:
Once again, a link would be nice to see the hands in question...
Once again, I don't think the actual hand is of that much interest to the problem. On the other hand, of course, choosing vugraph hands was done on purpose to provide some extra excitement (and since one of the hands was BETO's and then he joined the panel, it added even an extra level of interest).
Anyway, here is the hand... please try not to let the actual hand influence your thoughts on what the bids should mean and what action you should take... The hand was board 12
Bra. Team Trial, semi-final 3
#20
Posted 2005-September-21, 09:51

Help

BPO-005D
WEST NORTH EAST SOUTH
PASS 1NT 4♠ ? your bid
Partner opens second seat 1NT, RHO leaps to 4♠.... your bid.