
High card points, distribution points and card formation points make-up a hand's point count (Refer to Talking Pts. X????). Through the Combined Hand Equivalent Chart, combined hand points are brought together to reflect the trick level that can be reached at auction. The closer a partnership can bid the combined hand point count to it's optimum point count, the better the chance of getting a makeable contract will be.
It takes a minimum of 17 pts. with no misplays to make a one level trump bid, 20 pts. a two level, 23 pts. a three level, 26 pts. a four level, 29 pts. a five level, 32 pts. a six level, >35 pts. a seven level respectively. To verify the comparisons presented, select a completed dealt trump hand printed specimen without a bad trump split. Now, from declarer's position add-up the pre-ordained trick winners (Refer to Talking Pts. V??) held by opponents. Next, subtract the number of pre-ordained trick winners from thirteen. Now, subtract one point from the running total for each doubleton queen, singleton queen or king in the combined hands. Now, add/subtract one point respectively to/from the running total for each card formation held by the combined hands; the result being the number of natural tricks (Tricks not to be gotten by a trick taking tactics like a fineese or discard.) to be gotten.
Now, using your point count method, add-up the hcpts. in the combined hands. Next, subtract three points for each doubleton queen, singleton queen or king in the combined hands from the running total. Next, add to the running total the combined hands distribution point count and then add/subtract three points respectively for each card formation held by each hand. Now, divide the resulting point count total by three, resulting the trick count total to be gotten without a trick taking tactic (Fineese, discard, etc.).
When the trick count from the final count is greater than the trick count from declarer's count, the expectancy for making an overtrick exceeds seventy percent. When the trick count from the final point count is less than the trick count from declarer's count, either the point count method is bypassing distribution points, or card formation points are being excluded.
I find a point count method of one for a doubleton, three for a singleton, five for a void for opener and responder along with three for a card formation to be on spot.
