jillybean, on 2026-July-15, 09:32, said:
I am not even going attempt this. I can't do these problems on paper, I need to see the play.
I have to ruff the club, it looks like I will need to hook East in a red suit.
I am not good either, but a recipe for trump contracts
#1 decide the main hand
- hand with the most trumps, this would be the North hand
- if the number of trumps is equal, take declarers hand
#2 Count the looser in the main hand
You have 0 in clubs, 3 in diamonds, 3 in hearts, 1-2 in spades => 7-8 loosers, you can afford 1
1 diamond looser is covered via Dummies King, another by having JT9 in the suit
this leaves 1 in diamond, ..., avoiding this diamond looser will be a finesse (one way or the other)
all 3 heart loosers are covered by Dummy, this leaves 0 in heart.
1 looser can be avoided with a finesse, the 2nd will show up with spades not breaking 3-2
If you take stock, you have 1 diamond looser (finesse), 1-2 spade loosers (finesse 1), this makes it
2-3 and you can only afford 1.
#3 Also you should make a habit of counting entries, as it is you have the heart suit that provides 3 entries
to dummy, and the trumps on the other side, i.e. entries are not an issue. (I usally blow this part.)
#4 The next decision is to decide, if you should draw trumps or not.
If you dont need trumps to get rid of loosers, you should draw trumps.
Our analysis mentioned finesse to avoid loosers, it did not use ruffs, in short you dont need trumps to avoid
loosers.
Now you should only make a finesse, if there is no better option, but the finesse is quite often the best solution,
last resort, ..., ob. timing matters.
For timing you can use the "EDF" rule for ordering (EVI in German)
E - <missing the english name> ("Expass")
D - Distribution ("Verteilung)
F - Finesse ("Impass")
#5 The next step is to decide, if the opponents thread to ruff our side winners, this involves analysing the lead.
Is the lead expected, e.g. they lead their fit suit (no ruff threaded) and or a side suit, e.g. a suit bid by us
... singleton probability raises.
Avoiding loosers in a single suit is now a problem, how to handle a specific suit, in our current scenario we have
a 6-2 fit. The 6-2 favours taking the finesse immediate, a 5-3 break favours cashing a top honor first.
If you deem the risk of enemy ruffs high enough, you may draw trumps from top.