BBO Discussion Forums: Lucky lead - BBO Discussion Forums

Jump to content

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

Lucky lead Mea culpa

Poll: Lucky lead (3 member(s) have cast votes)

What next, after five rounds of spades?

  1. Another spade (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. Ace of hearts (2 votes [66.67%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 66.67%

  3. Four of hearts (1 votes [33.33%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 33.33%

  4. Something else (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   nige1 

  • 5-level belongs to me
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 7,647
  • Joined: 2004-August-30
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Glasgow Scotland
  • Interests:Poems Computers

Posted 2019-February-12, 19:50


Latest stupidity :(
In a local league match (aggregate) -- about 3 hours ago.
Against 6 by South, LHO leads T won by J.
On declarer's AK76
-- LHO discards 2 5 4 2.
-- RHO follows twice then discards 8 6
UDCA
What now?

0

#2 User is online   ahydra 

  • AQT92 AQ --- QJ6532
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,665
  • Joined: 2009-September-09
  • Gender:Male

Posted 2019-February-13, 03:07

Essentially you have to tell if hearts are breaking or not. West did have the short spades, and play the C5 then the C4 possibly suit-preference high. Perhaps he holds e.g. T J963 Q982 K542, where even a singleton trump lead looks the most appealing of that ugly lot. But it's far from clear, as something like T J93 Q982 KJ542 would have the same lead issue and likely discard the same way.

You can actually pick up J963 with W thanks to the power of the 5 and the 4 :). Lead the 8, if 9 then K (East shows out), DA and then run the 5. And hell, this can't go wrong if East has them either, as W will show out when you lead the 8. The challenge is backing your judgement / guess if you lead the 8 and W follows small. I'm not sure I would (unless playing for a swing, perhaps).

ahydra
0

#3 User is offline   HardVector 

  • PipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 192
  • Joined: 2018-May-28

Posted 2019-February-14, 17:53

You are only worried about a 4-0 heart break. I will be shocked if west had a singleton spade and a void in hearts, so I'd cater to east having the void.
2

#4 User is offline   rmnka447 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,212
  • Joined: 2012-March-18
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Illinois
  • Interests:Bridge, Golf, Soccer

Posted 2019-February-15, 17:10

When at trick 2 you find that LHO had only 1 trump and RHO had 3, LHO has 12 vacant places and RHO only 10. So the odds (12/10) favor LHO having 4 , if anyone does.
0

Share this topic:


Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users