virgosrock, on 2017-October-31, 04:43, said:
giving tinyurl first since my hv= has problems with bidding blurbs.
http://tinyurl.com/y946azze
Blurb shows 3NT as 14-21. OK why quibble over 1 HCP since GIB has 13 HCP. I did not notice 1H is 3+ but that is still irrelevant. Did not convert to 4H since a D ruff may happen.
To me the play is quite simple. Duck first D, take next in hand and club finesse. Later can take spade hook into safe hand. Am I missing something? Perhaps GIB decided on the bidding spade King would be onside. Just another $2.27 (including table fee) swing.
vrock
I think you can make it, but not quite as easy as it looks at first glance.
If you duck first D and win next in hand you won’t be able to take C finesse without using ace of D. So, you lead a club to dummy and continue if west ducks. Let’s say he ducks, wins 2nd club and takes out your last diamond. If west wins first club and takes out ace of D, you can get back to your hand by overtaking club without losing an extra trick in that suit because east has 9xx. However, it could make you kinda nervous at the table. I know I would be
So it looks like you are ok now, but what happens if east refuses to take king on first spade finesse? You have 3 clubs, 2d, 1h and 2 spades and are still a trick shy with no entries back to dummy after you repeat spade finesse.
I keep trying these scenarios and don’t see enough tricks with only 1 heart and possibility of EW ducking first round in black suits. However, I noticed early in the play that you can make 3 heart tricks if your entry situation will allow it by covering anything that east plays when you lead from dummy to south hand.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
Now it’s time to see if entries and timing will allow it before opps can take 5 tricks. It’s looking good so far if I’m seeing this right. You can make it with only 1 club trick: 1C, 2D, 3H, and 3S.
Hold of on first D and win continuation in dummy. Next, lead heart to your hand, planning to cover anything that east plays.
West wins heart and takes out your last diamond. If east puts up Q first you just win it and lead a heart towards dummy’s 10. No matter what they do you now have enough entries to set up 3rd spade if east holds off on first one, but lead small to dummy rather than running 10. You'll need to finesse east in heart suit again before repeating spade finesse if west won first heart finesse with K.
I’m not so sure I’d make this hand at table, but one thing I’ve learned is that robot can be very good at messing with your entries. That’s why the entries are the first place I look for possible robot traps. Although the robots make mistakes, they are very capable of making your life difficult, and are sometimes brilliant. I find most robot tournament hands to be challenging, even when they look easy at first.
Double-check me on this. I could have missed something.