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Play 018 - back to 7 Spades

#1 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2014-May-21, 12:05

You stumble into 7 when partner gets overly excited. There is good news and bad news in spades. The first three tricks are as shown by clicking the NEXT button. Plan your play.

--Ben--

#2 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2014-May-21, 13:14

Easy one, once I learned this tactic.

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Life is long and beautiful, if bad things happen, good things will follow.
-gwnn
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#3 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2014-May-21, 15:19

On the board at T3, the position is a known one, the question is what is needed. If E holds 2+ cards in every side suit I'm ok, or 1 diamond and at least three clubs and two hearts.

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Perhaps I can get by with a worse distribution on my right, but this is how I play it. .
Ken
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#4 User is offline   sfi 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 05:29

You can do slightly better.

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#5 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 07:41

View Postsfi, on 2014-May-22, 05:29, said:

You can do slightly better.

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You are right I that I was wrong, but I think a little more care is needed than what you say.

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Ken
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#6 User is offline   sfi 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 08:28

Good point - I magically gave dummy a fourth club for some reason. Hmmph.
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#7 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 08:44

A thought: A good question for us all for many of these lesson hands would be: What is the minimum you need to hope for, explain why you need it, explain why you do not need more.
Certainly I, and I doubt that others are exempt, have played hands in a way that might well work, but might not work because my line requires more than the best line needs. Onm this hand, if I ruff back to my hand and successfully cash the Q, quite possibly it would never occur to me that I just dodged an unnecessary bullet.
Ken
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#8 User is offline   Windboe 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 13:40

Technically its clear: A trump shortening. S has to ruff 2!D, eliminate the side, reach a 2 card ending and play a side suit from dummy and the trumps of E are catched.
That is technically easy. In praxis E might come to the idea to ruff my side suits in which I try to reach the dummy. So I have the next question: what is the distribution of E? Can I read it?

In books E has 4-3-3-3, so no problem, but the real life is not so nice.
Although I cannot look trough the cards, there are 2 things, which can help me:
1. Its the tendency of the nature to flat everything, to find the middle of all.
That means, if W has only a single in !S, there is - after my observation - the nature, God or the universe - will give W exact one more card in the other suits.
That is not possible here, so the nature will find the next likely distribution, 1-4-5-3 or 1-3-5-4 with W; respectively 4-2-4-3 or 4-3-4-2 with E.
2. The first free discard of W might help. He discarded a !C and that means his !C are not shorter than his !H. He is more likely to have 5!C than 5!H.

So it seems right to start with
4. !D ruff
5.!C to the 9
6.!Druff
7.!H to the Jack
8.!D with !H discard
9.!D with !C discard
10.!H with !C discard
But woe to me, my last cards are 2 trumps and a high !C and dummy has two high !C but a !h loser and I might go down, if E originally had a single !C.
The right play seems to be
5. to cash the !hQ
6.!C to 9
7.!D ruff
8. !C to dummy to execute the rest like above.

This play will fail, if E has a singleton !C or a singleton !H. I could have made with a singleton !C and three hearts by E (or otherwise), reaching dummy with a third round in !h but a second !C, but I have no way seen to conclude this.
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#9 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 14:46

Here is a way of looking at it quickly: After three tricks, E is known to have started with exactly four spades. W klet a heart and NS have 7, so E has at most five hearts. Therefore E has at least four cards in the minors. As long as two of them are clubs declarer can get back to dummy twice.Two diamonds and two clubs, E follows as declarer ruffs the low diamonds. ff E has one diamond then he also has at least three clubs. He can pitch a club as the second diamond is led from the board, but it doesn't help since he will still have at least one more club. Same if E has no diamonds since then he has at least four clubs.


So: Given what has happened through trick 3, we need two clubs with East. We need nothing more except careful sequencing.
My earlier thought of cashing the Q after the first ruff is an unnecessary risk.
Ken
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#10 User is offline   sfi 

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Posted 2014-May-22, 20:54

View PostWindboe, on 2014-May-22, 13:40, said:

The right play seems to be
5. to cash the !hQ
6.!C to 9
7.!D ruff
8. !C to dummy to execute the rest like above.

This play will fail, if E has a singleton !C or a singleton !H. I could have made with a singleton !C and three hearts by E (or otherwise), reaching dummy with a third round in !h but a second !C, but I have no way seen to conclude this.


You don't need to cash the HQ, so a singleton heart doesn't hurt you. And I don't think you can even make double-dummy if there is a singleton club unless hearts are 3-3.
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