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Your Lead against 3NT

#1 User is offline   TWO4BRIDGE 

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Posted 2014-May-13, 17:44

Opps bid unopposed:
1D - 3NT

Your lead holding:
♠A Q J 5 4
♥A 4
♦J 4 3 2
♣6 3
Don Stenmark
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"imo by far in bridge the least understood concept is how to bid over a jump-shift
( 1M-1NT!-3m-?? )." ....Justin Lall

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#2 User is offline   Endymion77 

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Posted 2014-May-14, 00:12

♠A
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#3 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-May-14, 02:52

+1 for the spade ace. Got high hopes to set this one.
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#4 User is offline   mycroft 

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Posted 2014-May-14, 12:32

First, what's 3NT? If it's the newish-standard "no 4cM, 13-15", partner can have a card. If it's oldish-standard "no 4cM, good 16-18", she likely won't.

May still lead the ♠A, maybe hoping partner might tell me about the ten. At MPs, we might have just given the minor suit raiser their tenth trick. But if partner can have a card (doesn't have to be the ♠K, could be the ♦Q or a club useful card) it's more likely we can get four spades and a trick.

What are we pitching on the run of the clubs?

Having said all of that, I don't see where any other lead than a spade has any advantage (except, I guess, underleading the ♥A into partner's K).
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#5 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2014-May-14, 17:11

spade A

With a good chance p is broke or declarer can finesse
them safely treating us as the danger hand----a small
spade seems misplaced since it can all too easily give
the opps 2 possible spades (K that they rate to have and
the T where they are 2/1 favorites). Starting with the ace
is no guarantee of success but with declarer having less
than 4 spades the odds are in our favor of setting up
spades and since we have a side entry there is no reason
to risk the normal play of the spade Q or J depending on
carding) who knows maybe we will get lucky and drop the
stiff K from rho who was trying to protect it in order to play 3n:)
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#6 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2014-May-15, 04:31

Would the 4 of you still choose the ace if that was the strong (unblock/count) lead or switch down to the Q/J in that case?
(-: Zel :-)
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#7 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-May-15, 06:17

Still the ace. Pard rates to have little to nothing, so it doesn't matter much, as stuff will be clear by trick 2.

And if he happens to unblock a would-be ♠K, it's fine by me :)
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#8 User is offline   TWO4BRIDGE 

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Posted 2014-May-15, 07:17

View PostTWO4BRIDGE, on 2014-May-13, 17:44, said:

Opps bid unopposed:
1D - 3NT

Your lead holding:
♠A Q J 5 4
♥A 4
♦J 4 3 2
♣6 3

The A, Q or J needed to be led.
Anything else allowed Declarer to win the race.
Declarer held 3 cards ( K 9 x ) and dummy had 3 cards ( 10 x x ) .
( Declarer also needed ♥ tricks to make . )
Don Stenmark
TWOferBRIDGE
"imo by far in bridge the least understood concept is how to bid over a jump-shift
( 1M-1NT!-3m-?? )." ....Justin Lall

" Did someone mention relays? " .... Zelandakh

K-Rex to Mikeh : " Sometimes you drive me nuts " .
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#9 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2014-May-15, 07:48

I have to admit, I was expecting ♠K to be singleton when we got the hand.
(-: Zel :-)
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