What do you bid? Using Losing Trick Count
#1
Posted 2005-January-09, 20:55
KJ1076
K103
6
K1097
Auction is:
E S W N
1C 1S P 2C
x ?
2C* is a limit raise or better by unpassed hand.
You hold a 7 loser hand, the equivalent to an opening bid no matter what your HCP says - and no, I would not open in 1st or 2nd seat due to the lack of defensive strength implied by opening. However, the question is what should you do at imps with a 7 loser hand opposite a limit raise?
#2
Posted 2005-January-09, 21:13
2s=easy.
#3
Posted 2005-January-09, 21:32
See http://home.wxs.nl/~hjr/index.html for good description of LTC.
#4
Posted 2005-January-09, 21:42
Winstonm, on Jan 10 2005, 03:55 PM, said:
KJ1076
K103
6
K1097
Auction is:
E S W N
1C 1S P 2C
x ?
2C* is a limit raise or better by unpassed hand.
You hold a 7 loser hand, the equivalent to an opening bid no matter what your HCP says - and no, I would not open in 1st or 2nd seat due to the lack of defensive strength implied by opening. However, the question is what should you do at imps with a 7 loser hand opposite a limit raise?
With a seven loser hand opposite a LIMIT raise surely 2♠ is the correct bid ??
IF partner is stronger than a limit raise HE can proceed
#5
Posted 2005-January-09, 21:56
#6 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-January-10, 03:07
#7
Posted 2005-January-10, 03:34
Quote
Beware of using this blind evaluation: you may end up counting 2 losers fot both Qxx and Axx, which obviously cannot work:
e.g.
Axx(x) = 2 losers ALWAYS
Kxx(x) = 2 losers only with A onside, so about 2.5 losers
Qxx(x) = 2 losers only with both AK onside, so about 2.75 losers
This scheme is adjusted adding other honors, but the principle is to account for the probability of simple(double/deep) finesses working or not, given the bidding.
Also, in evaluating "half losers", take into account the positionality (likely location of opps honors given the bidding), wasted values in opps suits (deevaluate), singletons/voids in pard suit (deevaluate).
your hand:
KJ1076 = KJT = 2- losers
K103 = 2.5 losers
6 = 1 loser
K1097 = 2.5 losers
total = 8- losers
------------------
However, the LTC should not be applied blindly: it is likely that most values are onside (RHO pened), so most finesses should work, in which case the hand may be upgraded to, say, 7-7.5 losers, a marginal opening bid strength.
E S W N
1C 1S P 2C
x ?
The real question now is: in this bidding sequence, what is the meaning of pass ?
After RHO double, you are not forced to bid, so you might:
1) pass with minimum overcall
2) bid anything with a close-to opening hand
3) yes, I forgot redouble, which might how a max overcall, say some 15-17 hcp overcall
My choice is a 2S bid, which in my opinion should show more or less your hand: close to opening bid, no biddable side suit (clubs is opps suit). If pard then invites, I will pass.
#8
Posted 2005-January-10, 04:15
I'd just bid 2♥ help suit trial.
#9
Posted 2005-January-10, 07:09
Maybe 2♣XX is our only making game? Of course, parnter should only leave it in with something in ♣
Eric
#10
Posted 2005-January-10, 07:31
i bid 3♠))
kenneth
foole me twice, shame on me....!!
#11
Posted 2005-January-10, 08:21
Here you can make a mild game try by using PASS of the double. You parnter's 2♣ bid "FORCED" you to the level of 2♠. That is, it committed you to play at least 2♠ and I play the interference has not changed that condition. In this situation, the "Principle of Fast Arrival" applies. The weakest bid you could make is 2♠, 2♥ and other bids (besides 2♠ and pass) would be stronger still. This pass is ideal. Wouldn't it be nice to hear your partner accept your game try with a nice 2♥ bid here? That would be enough to get you to bid game. If he bids 2♦, you could retreat to 2♠ as his bidding diamonds doesn't help your hand at all.
Why guess to over bid (something other than pass and 2♠) or to underbid (a 2♠ bid). Let' their double help you defined your strength and seek additional info from partner. If he returns to 2♠ you will gladly pass too.
Ben
#12
Posted 2005-January-10, 09:05
Joel
#13
Posted 2005-January-10, 09:18
inquiry, on Jan 10 2005, 02:21 PM, said:
Here you can make a mild game try by using PASS of the double.
Ben, is this "standard practice", e.g., would you expect yourpickup partner to understand it without previous agreements ?
#14
Posted 2005-January-10, 09:27
Chamaco, on Jan 10 2005, 11:18 AM, said:
inquiry, on Jan 10 2005, 02:21 PM, said:
Here you can make a mild game try by using PASS of the double.
Ben, is this "standard practice", e.g., would you expect yourpickup partner to understand it without previous agreements ?
It would depend upon the level of my partner. For most "experts" I would take this as standard practice. So, for example, Jlall, who is an expert says pass, firechief too. I am sure you have read Robson/Segal where this type auction is discussed at legnth, so anyone playing R/S would play this way too. However with almost all intermediate and many advance players, it is probalby not standard. In fact, not all experts play it this way. I add this probably from experience...lots of people seem to think pass is always the weakest bid. Nothing can be further from the truth if you want to be flexible and to make the most of the available space in competitive auctions.
Once again, the theory goes, however, that after 2♣ (or whatever support bid partner makes at whatever level) that you are going to at least your suit at the next lowest level.... if RHO had passed, with the weakest hand you could have held you were going to bid 2♠. So if RHO bids (or dbls), 2♠ is the weakest bid. Notice how PASS with this hand adds greater definition to not all 2♠ but also to other bids (2♥ for example would be stronger than pass). They give you extra room use it. Imagine if RHO had passed 2♣, now you have a problem. 2♥ misdescribes your hand, 2♠ could be a lot weaker. The double actually helps you out.
#15
Posted 2005-January-10, 11:52
But whit a pickup partner i bid 3 Spades.
kenneth
foole me twice, shame on me....!!
#16
Posted 2005-January-10, 14:16
LTC is much more accurate guage of bidding in suit contracts after a fit has been established, especially a 9-card major fit.
Question is, what does a limit raise show as far as cover cards? (Cover cards are Aces, Kings, and QJx or Q in suit bid by pard or trumps)
Playing that a limit raise over a simple overcall is 11-13, which is expert standard, it is hard to construct a hand which has less than 4 cover cards unless it is A, A, K, which should be promoted anyway.
With 7 losers covered by 4 cover cards, playing imps where vul. games are at a premium and a 37% chance of success is all you need to bid games profitably, the best action on this hand is to simply bid the game.
Best action? 4S.
(It made 5 without defensive error)