It is rare that you know 100% of the matchpoints are at stake but that was the case here. Both pairs were on around 50%, about 4 boards from the end of a national final. The explanations were confident (and, it transpired, correct) and the auction quick. Your go.
Your lead 100% either way
#1
Posted 2013-May-27, 03:12
It is rare that you know 100% of the matchpoints are at stake but that was the case here. Both pairs were on around 50%, about 4 boards from the end of a national final. The explanations were confident (and, it transpired, correct) and the auction quick. Your go.
#2
Posted 2013-May-27, 04:24
#3
Posted 2013-May-27, 06:08
#5
Posted 2013-May-27, 07:26
I remember a similar hand where the rationale was that if partner has a major suit ace, a diamond may concede only the twelfth trick, but if partner has the diamond ace, they have 14 tricks on top.
#6
Posted 2013-May-27, 08:36
gnasher, on 2013-May-27, 04:24, said:
The auction pretty much precludes p having the ability to x 3h so I do not think
the non x of 3h should b taken into consideration. P either feels he has it set
no matter what you lead OR they are trying to get a specific lead and the only
way to get a specific lead is to ask for a heart (IMO)
#7
Posted 2013-May-27, 14:10
I am not sure what to lead, but I definitely feel like (unless someone has psyched) the Heart Ace is safe for the defense regardless of what is led.
Partner is asking me to think a little deeper, but I haven't solved the puzzle yet.
4c gerber? Or 3Hs some kind of convention? Maybe that's the answer. I did not x/lead direct over gerber (or H's) but if you lead it now, we win. Still --
Is partner wiggling her ring finger?
Joking aside, I might be able to solve this puzzle with the explanations attached . . . . But it makes no sense to me that OPPs would bid to 7NT missing an A -- are they in a desperate "top or bottom" situation. And it makes no sense that they are even trying for a grand with 33 HCP max, let alone getting there in NT with no void to ruff/save.
#8
Posted 2013-May-27, 14:24
biggerclub, on 2013-May-27, 14:10, said:
You have to click on the bidding diagram as if you were on BBO. The auction is not what you think, or rather it does not mean what you think.
#9
Posted 2013-May-27, 16:21
Two very strong players who had not previously seen the hand, Hallberg and Burn, found the diamond lead. PhilKing almost did. I considered it, but was worried about some layout with Ax opposite Qxx with otherwise 12 tricks. I now think a diamond is right.
#11
Posted 2013-May-27, 23:57
lamford, on 2013-May-27, 16:21, said:
Two very strong players who had not previously seen the hand, Hallberg and Burn, found the diamond lead. PhilKing almost did. I considered it, but was worried about some layout with Ax opposite Qxx with otherwise 12 tricks. I now think a diamond is right.
Why did partner double? Shouldn't a double ask for a special lead instead of turning 50 into 100, just because I have an ace?
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#12
Posted 2013-May-28, 04:38
Codo, on 2013-May-27, 23:57, said:
In this exact scenario, some people of my acquaintance play double simply as "they are missing an ace - you work out where, or which is is more likely to go to sleep".
On that basis a diamond is the percentage action on the grounds that it may not be fatal when you miss. I don't care for this interpretation of double myself, since I have never seen it work. But doubling for a heart lead does work when you have the hand for it and suits my preferred non-genius approach.
#13
Posted 2013-May-28, 07:47
PhilKing, on 2013-May-28, 04:38, said:
On that basis a diamond is the percentage action on the grounds that it may not be fatal when you miss. I don't care for this interpretation of double myself, since I have never seen it work. But doubling for a heart lead does work when you have the hand for it and suits my preferred non-genius approach.
We had never discussed a double of 7NT, so all I could do was alert my partner to the fact that I had an ace so that if he had a meaningful choice he could try to go active. If he didn't find my ace we were still getting a bottom for 7NT= missing an ace.
They did have 14 or more tricks outside of diamonds, but anyway I don't think they heard anything, because it was a barometer final and I would have heard it too.

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