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Diamonds are not my best friend
#1
- hooked
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:20
How do you evaluate this?
"And no matter what methods you play, it is essential, for anyone aspiring to learn to be a good player, to learn the importance of bidding shape properly. MikeH
"100% certain that many excellent players would disagree. This is far more about style/judgment than right vs. wrong." Fred
"Hysterical Raisins again - this time on the World stage, not just the ACBL" mycroft
"100% certain that many excellent players would disagree. This is far more about style/judgment than right vs. wrong." Fred
"Hysterical Raisins again - this time on the World stage, not just the ACBL" mycroft
#2
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:23
3NT - you almost certainly have nine on top when you get in, and you probably don't have 11 tricks in diamonds. They're not always going to lead hearts, and even when they do it's no guarantee they have more than four tricks.
#3
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:30
Sure 3NT. We will often make it and they are often cold for 4♥ so it's a great two-way shot.
"What's the big rebid problem? After 1♦ - 1♠, I can rebid 1NT, 2♠, or 2♦."
- billw55
- billw55
#4
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:35
If pard also has a doubleton heart I would rather go down in 3nt than 3♦ anyway and they may underlead a black King to pards Queen too.
When a deaf person goes to court is it still called a hearing?
What is baby oil made of?
What is baby oil made of?
#5
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:47
My new mantra is "stoppers are for whimps"
The 4 pairs who did bid NT did not get a ♥ lead
, the rest of us languished in 3♦
The 4 pairs who did bid NT did not get a ♥ lead
, the rest of us languished in 3♦
"And no matter what methods you play, it is essential, for anyone aspiring to learn to be a good player, to learn the importance of bidding shape properly. MikeH
"100% certain that many excellent players would disagree. This is far more about style/judgment than right vs. wrong." Fred
"Hysterical Raisins again - this time on the World stage, not just the ACBL" mycroft
"100% certain that many excellent players would disagree. This is far more about style/judgment than right vs. wrong." Fred
"Hysterical Raisins again - this time on the World stage, not just the ACBL" mycroft
#6
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:55
It's important to remember that the opps don't know what the right lead is, even if they have hearts. Imagine being on lead on this auction with say AQxxx in hearts and KQJx in clubs. At mps, there is a lot to be said for a club lead, to avoid giving away a trick to the heart K that declarer is 'known' to hold.
The key is to bid in tempo. A hesitation would get LHO thinking that the call wasn't clear and thus may infer you're wide open in a suit.
The key is to bid in tempo. A hesitation would get LHO thinking that the call wasn't clear and thus may infer you're wide open in a suit.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
#7
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Posted 2012-December-12, 17:59
I think you have at best 10% chance partner has A and 5% the K onside. (On average he has just over 2 hearts.)
About 10% chance he has 4 hearts. So on a heart lead, less than 25% chance of taking 9 tricks.
However a black suit lead is probably between 50% and 60% - They rate to have longer hearts than either black suit and won't lead a diamond.
Looks like a pretty good game - unless west is holding honor sequence in hearts.
About 10% chance he has 4 hearts. So on a heart lead, less than 25% chance of taking 9 tricks.
However a black suit lead is probably between 50% and 60% - They rate to have longer hearts than either black suit and won't lead a diamond.
Looks like a pretty good game - unless west is holding honor sequence in hearts.
#8
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Posted 2012-December-13, 13:42
Do I get to sit on the fence by saying 3NT at IMPs, pass at MPs? At MPs I can take a plus score with probably only 8 tricks opposite a typical x xx KQJTxxx xxx. I can be more aggressive at IMPs.
'In an infinite universe, the one thing sentient life cannot afford to have is a sense of proportion.' - Douglas Adams
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