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2. Because 12-15 tends to be 'equal strength', which means that should we run we may very well make it. Even if my partner has few points but a long suit, we may make it. Doubling at the two level is dangerous for a number of reasons.
- why should your partner exactly the hand you need ?
If you have such a partner, I would be delighted to play some hands with him on BBO, since my pards usually tend to put down a "normal" dummy...
- doubling at the 2 level is as dangerous as a 1NT overcall: it is risky when opps have the balance of power and we have to scramble for a fit; this will occurr in both cases;
At least at the 1-level, though, if we double rather than overcalling 1NT we have a greater chance to stop at the 1 level (safer), whereas if we bid 1NT and we are doubled, there is no coming back :-)
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3. I find that it has good pre-emptive value over 1 of a minor (because outside of figeting responder has no way to show exactly 4 of one major but not the other). Over 1 of a major, they may also have no way of finding their 4-4 fit in the other major.
- it does have some preemptive power; however, the risk involved in preempts varies a lot according to different situations (amount of info exchanged by opps, having limited their hand or notl, vulnerability, seat, etc); opening 1NT (rather than overcalling) can be damaging, because neither of opps knows yet if his pard has points.
So overcalling after an opener assumes much more risks than OPENING weak NT.
This may be justified by "stealing" their major fit;
However, this advantage will be compensated negatively by the symmetric disadvantage: when we have a 4-4 major fit and pard is weakish, he will pass your weak NT and you'll lose your major fit as well.
(As they say "1NT buries fits, both ours and opps' ")
So you are taking a risk (big penalties) for a potential advantage which on percentage will be compensated by the same disadvantage.
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4. When you start playing against opponents who open with unbalanced 8 counts, you start finding ways to bid constructively. When my partner has a constructive hand, I've made it much easier to bid. More and more people are opening at the 1 level with those unbalanced 8s. If you like tossing in your hand and giving them a top when you and your partner each have a balanced 13 count, be my guest.
I don't get it, sorry.
If both myself and my pard have a balanced 13 count, one of us will probably double, or balance with 1NT.
Of course you know that balancing with 1NT with a weak NT hand is usually not risky.
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5. 15-18 NTs are more dangerous than 12-15.
You have to discriminate 1NT openers from 1NT overcalls.
And you have to consider whether 1NT is 2nd/3rd or 4th seat.
It does change A LOT.
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6. X works just fine with 15-18 balanced in the usual systems, because partner will jump with a good 8+. You aren't going to miss many games by doubling and then passing partner's nonjump bid.
Sure, that's why I play Raptor :-)
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I don't even know why I'm bothering. People who've never seen it played are going to go with the usual condescending crap.
If you post your thoughts here I think you should be happy to hear different opinions from yours.
That's the reason why I like the BB Forum, I can hear some opinions diferent from those I would hear at the club.
When I hear that many people here think the opposite of what I think, I start wondering whether I may be wrong.
You may consider doing the same, if you like to.
Or to go on as you do now, up to you
"Bridge is like dance: technique's important but what really matters is not to step on partner's feet !"