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3NT trick 1 play

#1 User is offline   kgr 

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Posted 2011-August-05, 02:11

MP's

LHO leads ♦T and when you ask it shows 0 or 2 higher cards.
He has either: Tx or AJT(xx)
A diamond lead was very likely after this bidding. What do you play LHO for?
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#2 User is offline   mfa1010 

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Posted 2011-August-05, 05:36

Hehe, cute. What does my table feel tell me? Did he like his lead?
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#3 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2011-August-05, 06:15

In a vacuum, looks like RHO has 13 open spaces and LHO has 12, so more likely that RHO has 4 cards to LHO's 1 than vice versa.

edit: this is what I get for misreading the problem so early in the morning. The above is nonsense. I'll think more about it.
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#4 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2011-August-05, 07:32

kgr wrote "MP's LHO leads ♦ T and when you ask it shows 0 or 2 higher cards.
He has either: Tx or AJT(xx) A diamond lead was very likely after this bidding. What do you play LHO for?"


IMO, you should win ♦K. If you've misguessed, you may go one down.
But were LHO dealt ♦ AJTx and had you had risen with ♦Q, then you could go two down.

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#5 User is offline   kgr 

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Posted 2011-August-05, 09:06

West had ♦AJTx
In fact North had Q753, that lowers the chance for 2 down when playing ♦Q.
I played the Queen from dummy and did go -1.
Seems like a guess, but maybe it is slightly better to let it run to the ♦K. Because West could have started ♠ with ♦Tx
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