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Ten Carat's Worth.

Poll: Your call? (25 member(s) have cast votes)

First seat, all white, IMPs. You are dealt the hand below. Your call?

  1. Pass (need 13 points to open) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. 1D (5 votes [20.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 20.00%

  3. 1 of a Major or 1NT (yes, a psych) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  4. 2D (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. 3D (1 votes [4.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 4.00%

  6. 3NT (Gambling) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  7. 4D (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  8. 5D (6 votes [24.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 24.00%

  9. 6D (13 votes [52.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 52.00%

  10. 7D (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  11. 4NT (specific ace ask) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  12. Something else (explain) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   matmat 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 09:56

You're playing with a good expert partner, if it matters. IMPs, all white.
Have fun!

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#2 User is offline   mfa1010 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 10:24

I have no clue. I'll try a brave 5.
Michael Askgaard
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#3 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 10:29

If I ever saw a 6 of a minor opener, this is it. I'm not selling out to 5M.

Hell, I'm not sure I'm selling out to 6M either LOL.
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#4 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 10:53

View PostPhil, on 2010-November-01, 10:29, said:

If I ever saw a 6 of a minor opener, this is it. I'm not selling out to 5M.

Hell, I'm not sure I'm selling out to 6M either LOL.


I don't like the combination of opening 6 and diving over 6Major. Perhaps if LHO bids 6Major and partner does not double there is a case but even then it could be wrong.

Opening 5 has the major problem that partner will seldom raise when it is right on the other hand it is hard to get to our most likely game if we start with 6.

Given I anticipate having to make another decision opening lower has some appeal to me.

But anything could be right.
Wayne Burrows

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True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#5 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 11:35

View PostCascade, on 2010-November-01, 10:53, said:

But anything could be right.


This.

At the table, I'd probably pass. There's no way this is getting passed out. I'll wait and see what happens. I'm hoping to play 5Dx or 6Dx, but I don't know which yet. I really don't want this to go 5D-(5M)-p-p, or 6D-(x)-p-p, because then it's guesswork.
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#6 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 11:40

IF they voercall 6 with 6M then I have a lightner double of either major... oh wait
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#7 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 11:43

View PostFluffy, on 2010-November-01, 11:40, said:

IF they voercall 6 with 6M then I have a lightner double of either major... oh wait

With luck partner will save you.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#8 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 11:55

I tend to pass on hands as extreme as this, so far on a small sample (I've held 10 card suits 3 times, twice first up), I've reached the right spot for a loss of IMPS or poor MP score each time.
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#9 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 11:58

View Postmatmat, on 2010-November-01, 09:56, said:

You're playing with a good expert partner, if it matters. IMPs, all white.
Have fun!



Your best shot at playing a contract is just to bid it so ---- 6. The combination of needing A,K or the 8 and another cover card probably pushes it over 50%
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#10 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 12:08

View Postpooltuna, on 2010-November-01, 11:58, said:

Your best shot at playing a contract is just to bid it so ---- 6. The combination of needing A,K or the 8 and another cover card probably pushes it over 50%

What for down one?
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#11 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 18:44

1d
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#12 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2010-November-01, 23:19

6D. The passers are funny!
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#13 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-November-02, 05:20

If you bid 6D straight up, you will certainly leave the opps with the last guess. Maybe they guess right. But 6dx-1 is very unlikely to score badly. :) Even 6dx-2 could be a huge win on the board.
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#14 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-November-02, 05:22

View PostCyberyeti, on 2010-November-01, 11:55, said:

I tend to pass on hands as extreme as this, so far on a small sample (I've held 10 card suits 3 times, twice first up), I've reached the right spot for a loss of IMPS or poor MP score each time.


This is the first time I have ever seen someone who wanted to have the last guess. Also, it might be very hard to convince partner that he really wants to play in diamonds when he is 8-4 in the majors :)
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#15 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2010-November-02, 16:03

Probably 6 for me, although most people who know me well would probably guess I would pass this :)

I am not bidding over 6M, so bidding to the level that I am going to bid later anyway seems reasonable enough.
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#16 User is offline   bucky 

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Posted 2010-November-03, 14:45

I would probably choose between 5 and 6, but like others said, anything could be right. I am not sure if the actual result from this hand would teach me anything. The sample space is so small that the success or failure of a certain bid isn't meaningful enough to generalize.
 
 
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#17 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2010-November-03, 17:27

View Postphil_20686, on 2010-November-02, 05:22, said:

This is the first time I have ever seen someone who wanted to have the last guess. Also, it might be very hard to convince partner that he really wants to play in diamonds when he is 8-4 in the majors :)


Example

void, Ax, x, AKJxxxxxxx

You pass, and it goes 4-P-P-? I decided this didn't change who had how many points that much, but partner's were less likely to be in spades, so I bid the cold 6. Unfortunately they got doubled in it at the other table.

Second example

AQJxxxxxxx, void, void, xxx

I passed and managed to find out through a detailed auction that partner had a 0454 18 ish count with 2 of the 3 aces and ace and/or king in all three suits. I bid 6 on balance of probabilities. Partner had void, AQJx, AQxxx, KQJx or similar, Kx of trumps were onside, and both red suit kings offside. I was one of 2 declarers doubled in this, and they led a singleton trump at the other doubled table :(

You can usually take a fairly early guess not the last one, and do it with some useful information in the bank.
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#18 User is offline   Flameous 

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Posted 2010-November-03, 17:35

I'm opening 10-12NT, it denies two singletons with us but luckily I have none this time :)
Another funny thing to do with this hand would be to open multi, and keep on correcting to diamonds. I hope partner will eventually pass it and opps might want to double it then.
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#19 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 03:55

View PostFlameous, on 2010-November-03, 17:35, said:

I'm opening 10-12NT, it denies two singletons with us but luckily I have none this time :)
Another funny thing to do with this hand would be to open multi, and keep on correcting to diamonds. I hope partner will eventually pass it and opps might want to double it then.

You might get away with the multi thing here, but otherwise you could fall foul of the "You forgot the system and were alerted by partner's alert", "no I didn't, I psyched Ghestem with a club suit" type argument.
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#20 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 08:03

View PostCyberyeti, on 2010-November-04, 03:55, said:

You might get away with the multi thing here, but otherwise you could fall foul of the "You forgot the system and were alerted by partner's alert", "no I didn't, I psyched Ghestem with a club suit" type argument.

I highly doubt even directors would believe that you were intending to open a weak 2 on this hand :)
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