Over a preemptive 3C
#1
Posted 2010-October-18, 09:14
(3♣) - ?
♠void ♥AJ9xxx ♦AQTx ♣AQx
thanks
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#2
Posted 2010-October-18, 09:17
George Carlin
#3
Posted 2010-October-18, 09:52
Put me down for feeble.
My partner is not likely to pass 3♥ on most hands that will make 4♥. The problem is that he will assume that his spade values are working, which they are not. Heart cards or length is of paramount importance.
By bidding 3♥ I will be better placed should he advance with 3♠, as I can then bid 3NT. However, if I bid 4♥ and he advances with 4♠, I will not be well placed.
#4
Posted 2010-October-18, 09:55
4♥ leaves us incredible exposed with a weak trump suit and lots of red suit finesses going into the wrong hand.
#5
Posted 2010-October-18, 10:34
#6
Posted 2010-October-18, 10:51
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#7
Posted 2010-October-18, 11:09
Feeble 3♥ is certainly conservative, but pard knows my floor for an immediate 3H is a bit higher than that of most humans.
#8
Posted 2010-October-18, 12:32
It's an overbid, but at least it warns partner I don't want to hear about his spade suit and tells him I have a good hand. If the majors were reversed I would be willing to double and pull the 'wrong' major response back to my 6-card suit, but I can't let it go X-p-4S now.
The feeble folk will be right some percentage of the time. I am just speculating it's more like 30% than 60%.
#9
Posted 2010-October-18, 12:44
#12
Posted 2010-October-18, 13:13
Siegmund, on Oct 18 2010, 12:32 PM, said:
The feeble folk will be right some percentage of the time. I am just speculating it's more like 30% than 60%.
I snipped the post to focus on two actions: 3♥ vs. 4♥.
Percentage estimates about "right or wrong" on 3H depend on variables, such as what pard expects for 3H.
4♥ will be wrong almost all the times we don't belong in hearts, and some of the times we do belong in hearts, but partner doesn't guess how short and weak the suit is --and we get too high.
3H will be wrong if partner also chooses the low road.
I suspect that a significant percent of the time, both calls will lead to the same result, or both calls will lead to different bad results.
#14
Posted 2010-October-18, 17:13
(and I am closer to 3NT than 3♥)
East4Evil ♥ sohcahtoa 4ever!!!!!1
#15
Posted 2010-October-18, 17:21
#16
Posted 2010-October-18, 17:28
I would never consider 3♥, and double is not even on the map for me.
3N did not cross my mind until I read the answers here.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#17
Posted 2010-October-18, 17:45
#18
Posted 2010-October-18, 22:29
#19
Posted 2010-October-18, 22:30
Flameous, on Oct 19 2010, 12:45 PM, said:
Maybe against some players.
However against many players there is not guarantee of this unless you are thinking that the preempter is one of the two people.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#20
Posted 2010-October-26, 09:35
Let's place some cards. RHO is vul, and should have 7♣ to the KJ10, a second high card holding (odds favor it to be in ♠) and not have 7-2-2-2 distribution. I have a well-placed 17 count. All this leaves about 16 or so HCP for the other two hands.
Let's say RHO is something like:
QJx
x
xx
KJ10xxxx
The two unknown hands are dividing 10♠, 6♥, 7♦ and 3♣ between them. I have two worries: (1)LHO is loaded in ♥ and high cards and will double 4♥. (2) Partner has just enough for me to make 4♥, but will pass 3♥.
Odds favor that partner will have OK ♥ support (honor doubleton or three small or better) plus a wasted honor in ♠. My thought is that the wasted ♠ honor will be just enough to coax him to raise 3♥ to 4♥, so bidding 4♥ straightaway is not necessary.

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