You are south. Partner opens 1♦, you respond 2♣, then on a stupid quantitative auction in which partner naturally bids hearts then spades you end up declaring what looks to me like a reasonable 7NT. LHO leads the jack of diamonds, you have no good spots except the ones indicated. What's the best line?
7NT of course
#1
Posted 2010-September-27, 14:24
You are south. Partner opens 1♦, you respond 2♣, then on a stupid quantitative auction in which partner naturally bids hearts then spades you end up declaring what looks to me like a reasonable 7NT. LHO leads the jack of diamonds, you have no good spots except the ones indicated. What's the best line?
#2
Posted 2010-September-27, 14:43
If the suit is running, and diamonds break 3-3, we claim.
If the suit is running and diamonds don't break, cash the heart AK and cross back in spades, and run the clubs, reducing to a 4 card ending with one club to play.
I think the squeeze chances are excellent at this point, provided you read the position and at worst you fall back on the spade hook....you will, by this time, probably have a fair idea of the shape around the table. And if diamonds broke or the heart Q dropped, you have 13 tops anyway.
If the clubs aren't running, we need a lot of luck..cash the hearts, and then back to the spade A then the last club winner and hope that either something good happened in the red suits or that LHO began with Qxxx in spades and couldn't hold the position....say began with Qxxx Qxx J109x xx.
#3
Posted 2010-September-27, 14:56
#4
Posted 2010-September-27, 18:55
#5
Posted 2010-September-27, 19:25
jdonn, on Sep 27 2010, 07:55 PM, said:
well, I wouldn't find that out until I crossed to my hand at trick 4. What does LHO pitch and how do clubs break?
Assuming clubs behave, I think I am still cashing 2 hearts and crossing in spades to run the clubs..the calculations differ according to how many clubs LHO has, and thus how many majors, but if he has the length in both majors, then he is going to be in trouble. In my dreams he is something like xxxxx Qxx xx 10xx and on the last club he has to come down to x Q void void and RHO started with Qx spades and I now drop it. Of course, if LHO has both Queens, he is toast and if the Queen of hearts is short, I have 13 tops anyway. Once LHO is short in diamonds, the odds of RHO having the Queen of spades are less than 50%, and my line, which may be ultimately hooking LHO in spades has to be significantly better than that, if clubs behave, just because of the heart chance and the chance of a show up squeeze.
I will get back to you (maybe) if clubs don't come in or LHO holds xxxxx in clubs
#6
Posted 2010-September-27, 19:49
#7
Posted 2010-September-28, 03:19
#8
Posted 2010-September-28, 10:52
Fluffy, on Sep 28 2010, 04:19 AM, said:
5-1 break?
#9
Posted 2010-September-28, 14:29
jdonn, on Sep 27 2010, 08:49 PM, said:
Strange lead. I see nothing with your line. I think I would play DK, DQ, HA, DA to my hand. Upon finding the unexpected diamond break, I play 3 more clubs, pitching 1S, 1H, 1D. Finding that LHO started with 5 cards in the minors, the indication is that he should have length in majors. Then I cash ♥K to guard against RHO holding Qx while still retaining the chance to finesse LHO's ♠Q (or a show-up squeeze if LHO has 5323 shape and I can somehow read it right). Unfortunately this doesn't go well with 5-1 heart break, but I still have a last chance of finessing LHO's ♠Q, just that the chance is only about 3/7. Unlucky.
#10
Posted 2010-September-29, 03:09
(playing Clubs to see if they break first is a lot better than trying for J at trick 4)
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
#11
Posted 2010-September-29, 06:53
jdonn, on Sep 28 2010, 04:52 PM, said:
Fluffy, on Sep 28 2010, 04:19 AM, said:
5-1 break?
If you mean clubs 5-1 break note that mike is pitching a heart on the second one.
#12
Posted 2010-September-29, 10:01
Fluffy, on Sep 29 2010, 07:53 AM, said:
jdonn, on Sep 28 2010, 04:52 PM, said:
Fluffy, on Sep 28 2010, 04:19 AM, said:
5-1 break?
If you mean clubs 5-1 break note that mike is pitching a heart on the second one.
I mean hearts were 5-1 not 6-0.
#13
Posted 2010-September-29, 10:24

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