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Lead problem

#1 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2010-August-15, 00:31

Scoring: MP


Auction:

1H p 2D p
4NT p 5H p
6D p p p


Opponents are unpredictable club players.

What do you lead?
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#2 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2010-August-15, 09:34

Q
Chris Gibson
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#3 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 05:06

J
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#4 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 05:10

I though it was Q = 100, = 95, anything else -1.
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#5 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 08:03

cherdanno, on Aug 16 2010, 06:10 AM, said:

I though it was Q = 100, = 95, anything else -1.

this gets my vote but did you mean -100 for anything else? :)
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#6 User is offline   olliebol 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 08:19

guess club 6
Olivier.
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#7 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 09:10

in this instance is there any rationale to the choice, or is it just a stab in the dark?
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#8 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 09:14

club
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#9 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2010-August-16, 09:23

Club, prefer a club to a spade if only because we have long spades, opps have bid a slam (and LHO has a lot of red cards) so it seems unlikely that we can set up a second round spade to cash. Hope to set up a club instead.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#10 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 05:18

The reason for the obvious club: We may take two tricks before they discard all losers on hearts. As we have just a few clubs, it is much more likely to cash two club tricks.
Kind Regards

Roland


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#11 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 18:20

eveything is said, if we just needed 2 fast tricks or nothing spades honnors versus the club "shortness" would make it close, however opps are lacking one ace, so a slow club trick is probably just as good as 2 fast ones.
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#12 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 20:48

A club needs KQ (or KJ over dummys Q) and a short enough suit to cash a trick. Or an unlikely K behind dummys Ace.

A spade needs exactly Kx or Kxx (with 22).

I'm leading a club.
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