NickRW, on Aug 12 2010, 02:41 PM, said:
I think there is a simpler line of reasoning that is little less taxing on the brain cells.
1) P needs to have the ♣A or we're stuffed
2) We don't want the lead two tricks down the line
Ergo
3) Play ♣K
Nick
Unfortunately, good defense usually requires taxing the brain cells. There's another important check you need to make. Playing the
♣K would be disastrous if partner had the singleton
♣A. Here is how I reasoned while watching quiddity defend the hand:
Declarer is known to have specifically K8xx of spades, the KQ of hearts, and specifically Jxx of diamonds, so 9 HCP so far. Given that he responded 1S and invited with 3S, he does not have the club ace, that would give him 13 HCP and would be inconsistent with his bidding.
What do we know about declarer's shape? Declarer is either 4531, 4432, 4333, or 4234. If declarer is 4531 or 4432. then he would have responded 1
♥, not 1
♠, to the opening bid. If declarer is 4234, partner is 1561 holding 9 Jxxxx QT8xxx A. Favorable, she would certainly have shown her two suits in some fashion over 1
♠, so this is not a reasonable layout. Therefore declarer is 4333 without the club ace, and partner is 1462 (and partner probably did not open 2D because she did not like to do so with a 4-card major.) Therefore
♣K and a low club cannot cost and forces partner to do the right thing (return a red card).
2D X 3D X
P 4D P 4S
P P P