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Evaluate

#1 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 11:35

IMPs, none vulnerable.

x
AKxx
xxx
xxxxx

1S - (Dbl) - p - (2D)
2H - (3D) - ??
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#2 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 11:47

4 for sure. Partner didn't have to bid opposite a passing partner, and he bid 2 rather than double so I expect 5-5 usually with some kind of extras.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#3 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 15:21

4, was thinking of a rexford bid or something to show something we cannot have, but lets keep it simple
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#4 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 15:51

Good to see more B/Is posting here!
"Are you saying that LTC merits a more respectful dismissal?"
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#5 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 16:00

cherdanno, on Jun 29 2010, 04:51 PM, said:

Good to see more B/Is posting here!

Isn't the point that it's topics of interest to B/Is, not that only they should participate? I always respect requests for A/E to hide their answers.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#6 User is offline   karlson 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 16:18

I'm certainly in for 4, but not quite as optimistic as everyone else. I expect partner to bid 2 on basically all decent 5-5 hands (you can't just concede the partscore every time). On a trump lead we'll probably only be able to ruff two spades; righty probably has 5 spades, so we're not setting up the suit. I wouldn't be surprised to be a trick short opposite some pretty decent looking hands (AJxxx QJxxx Ax x maybe?). But 3 can certainly be on much less and I don't expect partner to bid 4 every time on just a little extra (even changing SJ to SQ will make it quite good), so I think you have to try 4.
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#7 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 16:52

finally a b/i answerer is here.

4 wtp, 3 is just competitive, double as game try is obscure.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#8 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 17:38

I don't think it is so much a matter of what level you are - or think you might be - but whether your answer helps a B/I to do exactly what the title of the thread suggests - i.e. evaluate - coz to the average beginner and not a few intermediates, this hand looks like 7hcp, pass, wtp!

I think the key points are:

1) You passed - therefore P did not make a second bid (or shouldn't have) just for the sake of hearing his own voice - extras in terms of shape or strength or both are to be expected.

2) In particular P heard the double, so he knows that any heart fit we may have could be running into a bad break (not for certain - but likely). This makes a 5-5 or 6-5 shape in his hand a good deal more likely as well.

3) They appear to have found a diamond fit - means P has at most 2 cards there and just one loser is entirely possible. Plus we have no wasted high cards opposite this shortage.

4) If P has any minor length at all, it almost certainly in clubs - which we don't mind having 5 of them.

5) A stiff opposite partner's first suit is often not a particularly nice feature - but here we're hoping for a 9 heart card fit and the possibility of ruffing P's spades good looks like a real possibility.

6) If all else fails visualise a hand for P. What about if he's got something like

Axxxx
QJTxx
x
xx

which is way below strength for the opening never mind the second bid, and 10 tricks begins to look like it might have chances. OK I gave P the spade ace which is a much better card than KQ opposite our singleton - but P is allowed to have more high cards than this - especially something like the club ace.

7) Finally there are no guarantees - P could be 5503 instead of 5512 and the clubs break 4-1 and they get a club ruff and other such disasters - but it is a bidders game.

Nick
"Pass is your friend" - my brother in law - who likes to bid a lot.
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#9 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2010-June-29, 23:14

I don't think our hand is worth 4D, we could have a fifth trump or better shape. I thought about it for a long time though, I could be convinced that 4D is right here, but I think the missing 5th trump is huge the more I think about it.
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#10 User is offline   vuroth 

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Posted 2010-July-04, 19:13

Definitely not passing here - that 2 bid improved our hand immensely.

At IMPs I bid 4 for sure. I'd be less certain at MPs, especially unfavourable. Probably depends on how aggressive I think partner is at partscore bidding.
Still decidedly intermediate - don't take my guesses as authoritative.

"gwnn" said:

rule number 1 in efficient forum reading:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
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#11 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2010-July-04, 20:08

PD should have somewhat more playing strength than a min for this sequence and probably also has 5 so I'll also try 4.
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#12 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2010-July-04, 22:47

I have been having a few drinks to honor our founding fathers.... so in my current state, I am thinking this hand is just good enough for 4 as a general slam try (not promising a diamond control). Yes, I know this is almost crazy talk, but I expect partner to hold a very good hand with 5+'s and 5+. And he rates to have very good controls in spades and at least one side suit as he bid his 2s without the ace or king opposite a partner who could not even make a negative double.

I could go into ZAR points and how to apply fit points when opener is known to be long opposite our short spade suit and we fully expect him to be short opposite our long club suit, but I will not as this is B/I forum. But I am thinking possible slam but I realize I overbid when loosened up with bubbly (or for our British friends as I learned tonight, champers).

But I think it is certainly closer to slam try than a pass of 2 and maybe that is the take home message. This is a good hand for this auction (up to the 3 bid).
--Ben--

#13 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-July-04, 23:29

inquiry, on Jul 4 2010, 11:47 PM, said:

I have been having a few drinks to honor our founding fathers.... so in my current state,

Ben.....you just wrote a frickin tome on compound squeezes LOL.
Hi y'all!

Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
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#14 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2010-July-04, 23:37

Phil, on Jul 5 2010, 12:29 AM, said:

inquiry, on Jul 4 2010, 11:47 PM, said:

I have been having a few drinks to honor our founding fathers.... so in my current state,

Ben.....you just wrote a frickin tome on compound squeezes LOL.

Hope it made sense.... I am a little buzzed.. They wouldn't even let me drive home. First time my keys have been "taken away". I probably could have driven home from the fireworks, but probably for the best.
--Ben--

#15 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2010-July-05, 02:17

At the table 3H went down 1 or 2 I believe, not sure.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#16 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2010-July-05, 03:19

JLOL, on Jun 30 2010, 05:14 AM, said:

I don't think our hand is worth 4D, we could have a fifth trump or better shape. I thought about it for a long time though, I could be convinced that 4D is right here, but I think the missing 5th trump is huge the more I think about it.

More or less this, except that I would probably be as bold as to bid 4 on a good day.
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