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lead lead lead

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 12:15

Axx
Qxxx
x
Qxxxx

3D-p-6D

lead lead lead.

fixed now
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#2 User is offline   ONEferBRID 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 13:39

What a coincidence... A bridge column in the newspaper quoted this week:
" Many years ago, we asked a great world champion about leading against a slam.
...( He said) ' Don't even think -- if you have a ( sidesuit ) singleton or an Ace, lead it ' " .

Of course for the hand in that column, it happened to be the losing lead..... as Declarer had Q x x opposite K x x x.
Don Stenmark ( TWOferBRIDGE )
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#3 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 13:56

so what do you lead???
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#4 User is offline   ONEferBRID 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 14:14

I hate to lead from Q-nothing....
And, eventho, i prefer the "non-thinking" route, I'll go with a Diam lead.
Don Stenmark ( TWOferBRIDGE )
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#5 User is offline   wank 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 14:14

i'll go for a heart - attacking lead auction.

declarer's more likely to have 2+ hearts than clubs, though probably only marginally - he might have 4 clubs, but he's unlikely to have 4 hearts.
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#6 User is offline   MarkDean 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 14:26

Spade ace.
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#7 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 14:41

heart, unless I'm playing against gamblers who will bid 6 diamonds off two top spades.
Chris Gibson
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#8 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 14:49

Low spade, I don't even consider this to be trying to be a genius, this is just our best shot at two fast tricks.
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#9 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 16:00

gwnn, on Jun 19 2010, 01:15 PM, said:

Axx
Qxxx
x
Qxxxx

3D-p-6D

lead lead lead.

fixed now

Well I am not leading a singleton trump and pretty much set against leading the Ace so I lead from the longest suit which holds a Q. :)
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

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#10 User is offline   Pict 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 16:06

Ace of Spades - this time and next whether or not it works.
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#11 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 16:32

A low heart seems to be hoping for quite a lot: partner to have the king, declarer to have at least two, dummy's clubs not to provide the necessary discards. A low spade needs less, but still quite a lot: partner to have the queen, declarer to have at least two, declarer or dummy to have the jack.

♠A requires only that partner have a trump trick. Looking at a singleton trump, that doesn't seem that unlikely. I'd lead ♠A.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#12 User is offline   kayin801 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 20:47

low ♠ in tempo unless righty suspects I underlead aces against slams, then ♠A.
I once yelled at my partner for discarding the 'wrong' card when he was subjected to a squeeze that I allowed by giving the wrong count with too high a card. Now he's allowed to pitch aces when the opponents have the king in the dummy. At trick 2. When he could have followed suit. And blame me.

East4Evil ♥ sohcahtoa 4ever!!!!!1
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#13 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2010-June-19, 21:28

rogerclee, on Jun 19 2010, 03:49 PM, said:

Low spade, I don't even consider this to be trying to be a genius, this is just our best shot at two fast tricks.

Totally agree
Kevin Fay
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#14 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 05:48

Ace of spades.
- Andy -

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#15 User is offline   Little Kid 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 06:44

What is the vulnerability?
♣ Veni, vidi, proficisci ♣
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#16 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 07:31

They are vulnerable, we are not.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#17 User is offline   Little Kid 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 08:40

Since LHO didn't go via rkc without the ♠A it seems reasonable to assume the ♦s are solid along with first round control in ♣ and ♥. It also seems probable LHO will have at least 2nd round control in ♠s, which is probably the ♠K. If you trust your opponents to have at least second round control in ♠ then I think the ♠A is out as you are probably just setting up a trick (K♠ or more) and handing them tempo to explore all their options.

A ♦ lead might make them misguess a suit they would have gotten right if you lead it, but leading a trump against this kind of contract also has a lot of inferences attached to it for declarer!

A small ♠ could work if you find your partner with the Q and opps with K and J. I wouldn't be prepared to take that risk because you might hand them an impossible contract if they have something like KQxx-x/Kxxx-Q/Kxx-Qx. It loses tempo and may allow them to set up a discard for their 2nd loser before you knock out the ace in that suit (eg. K♥ or K♣ with partner). ♠ is your shortest outside suit so if there is a suit they need to set up, it is most likely to be this one. If they have a guess to set up ♠s, they may still have it later! Most people will automatically put up the ♠J with KJT later in the play so they might still get it wrong.

Any of the other leads could work too but would be more likely to lead a ♣ than a ♥. Simply because I have more of them and the opponents are more likely to be forced to start on that suit because they have more expected combined length.

So I suppose in the end I would lead a small ♣.
♣ Veni, vidi, proficisci ♣
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#18 User is offline   barryallen 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 09:03

Knowing nothing about the bidder, I am stumped at what dummy's holding is to go straight to 6♦ without any interest of controls? The only type of hand that makes sense to me is something where you need to cash out the ♠A and a slim hope for a trump trick, because your two Q's don't look to be lying favourably.

I just do not see how leading a low ♠ will get you anything that you would have not of had a good chance of getting anyway? The only issue would be the ♠ trick disappearing. The only other viable option is partner having a K in ♥ or ♣, in which case leading the ♠A could cost. It would not surprise me that the lead of a small ♣ could work.
bridge is never always a game of exact, for those times it's all about percentages, partner and the opponents.
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#19 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2010-June-20, 09:28

gnasher, on Jun 20 2010, 09:32 AM, said:

♠A requires only that partner have a trump trick. Looking at a singleton trump, that doesn't seem that unlikely. I'd lead ♠A.

Additional (albeit probably unlikely) chance would be giving partner a spade ruff as dummy might track with long solid spades.
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#20 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2010-June-21, 13:42

gnasher, on Jun 19 2010, 06:32 PM, said:

A low heart seems to be hoping for quite a lot: partner to have the king, declarer to have at least two, dummy's clubs not to provide the necessary discards. A low spade needs less, but still quite a lot: partner to have the queen, declarer to have at least two, declarer or dummy to have the jack.

♠A requires only that partner have a trump trick. Looking at a singleton trump, that doesn't seem that unlikely. I'd lead ♠A.

agree
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