awm, on Jun 21 2010, 12:43 AM, said:
jdonn, on Jun 20 2010, 11:51 PM, said:
I think there is no way north should pass 3NT. Partner has two or fewer spades, you seem really likely to have a good fit in one minor or the other. Even if you don't or partner is loaded in hearts then partner can bid 4NT and you have only lost (much) if you make exactly 9 tricks.
Disagree with this; it could be that 3NT is already failing. Even though 4NT is "just one more down" you have so far avoided being doubled and this may not continue at the four-level. You also may be putting partner to a guess whether to play 5
♣ or 4NT, which he might get wrong.
Short of them having exactly 4 sure tricks in one hand you are never being doubled in 4NT, they didn't double 3NT and you just showed a better hand.
And how in the world is giving partner a choice of contracts, either of which may be right, supposed to be a point against bidding? That makes about the least sense of any argument I've ever heard. He will go right well over half the time anyway, we have described a lot about our hand. He may even bid 4
♦ and we can find a great contract in that suit.
I mean this is all silly, the right contract could be 3NT, 5
♣, 5
♦, 6
♣, 6
♦, 7
♣, maybe 7
♦, maybe 4
♠. You improve your odds tremendously if the right contract is the last 7 of those things by pulling, and either lose or break even if it's 3NT. Partner doesn't even know our minor yet! I still believe passing is awful.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
1♥-2♥-(P)-3♣
P-3♥-P-3NT
All Pass