awm, on Jun 12 2010, 12:26 PM, said:
As one who prefers to play pass as penalties in this auction (and picked up a top board in the platinum pairs because of it) I very much disagree with Phil.
When you have the hand for a penalty pass, playing pass as scramble frequently trades a very good score for a very bad score. Instead of defending 1mXX (quite possibly a sizable plus score and/or top score at MP) or at minimum forcing the opponents to bid their own contract, you are often going for a big number yourself by trying to declare a contract on a misfit hand where the opponents have the majority of the values.
When you have a hand for the scramble pass, it is certainly possible that playing pass as penalty (thus forcing you to guess a contract) gets a bad result. However, look at what needs to happen. First, opponents need to actually double you at the one-level (which they fairly frequently will choose not to do). Second, the one-level contract you "guessed" needs to score worse (doubled) than the one-level contract partner would've pulled to. Third, you could sometimes manage to bid the cheapest suit and redouble for rescue (i.e. you hold 4-4 majors after 1♣-X-XX, you can bid 1♦ and then rewind). Fourth, even if all the bad things occur, you generally scored something like -500 instead of -300 or -800 instead of -500 (i.e. one trick difference). This is bad, but not nearly so bad as trading +400 in for -500 (a common result on the penalty pass hand). In all, I think this is a pretty big combination of things that have to happen in order to save a few imps, and more than compensates for the somewhat higher frequency of "scramble pass" over "business pass."
I will mention that one of my regular partners looked at a very large number of deals from top flight competition and observed that this situation (1m-X-XX and fourth chair has a penalty pass) was a place where sizable numbers of imps were lost due to pairs not playing pass as business.
I can't ever remember being able to show a profit penalizing the opponents
- at the one level; and
- when we don't have the balance or power.
Adam's main argument is centered on picking up these rare penalties. The fact he scored a nice board in an important event is neat, but it might demonstrate that passing for penalties is not expert SOP if he didn't have company. I am interested in the seeing the hand if he doesn't mind posting it.
The suggestion both sides can go for a number at the one level is bizarre to me. Its a very odd board when neither side can make more than 5 or 6 tricks - in anything.
I don't understand the comment "forcing the opponents to find the right contract". With fair clubs opener rides this out otherwise he pulls. So what distress are they under?
The case of bidding 1
♦ and redoubling is a neat trick but it is the only 44 combination where we can pull this off at the one level.