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Defense vs. slam Go up with the ace?

#1 User is offline   bd71 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 07:58

Scoring: IMP

Penultimate board of 28-board team match with intermediate/advanced players. You were up 15 at half, and feel good about 2nd half so far...especially since you made 3HX+1 on last hand and it's a real longshot the other team will ever bid 4H. Opponents comments suggest they are desperate.

Their unopposed bidding on this hand:
1♣-1♥
3♣-3N
5♣-6♣

You lead K♠, taken by dummy's A♠. Declarer then ruffs a spade and leads a low heart.

What do you play?

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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 08:18

duck is good when partner has 2 slow diamond tricks, raise will be good when he's got ♦A wich one is most likelly? I think ♦A is more likelly this time, and add to that that he might even have a trump trick.
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#3 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 08:53

Fluffy, on May 24 2010, 09:18 AM, said:

duck is good when partner has 2 slow diamond tricks, raise will be good when he's got ♦A wich one is most likelly? I think ♦A is more likelly this time, and add to that that he might even have a trump trick.

so you are saying declarer found a 3♣ call holding

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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 09:31

yeah, more likelly than ♦AKxx, specially when you think of the likelly 8 card club suits. and that partner might have ♣K, wich even stiff, is a likelly trick.
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#5 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 09:45

Two main possibilities:

- Declarer has x, x, Axx, KQJxxxxx (we need to duck)

or

- Declarer has the hand Fluffy describes, or perhaps more likely: x, x, KQx, KQJxxxxx (we need to win).

Initially, I was going to ask "what spade did partner play on the 2nd round", but I can't see how partner would signal suit preference any differently holding the ♦A versus holding the ♦KQJ.

It seems to me that there are five KQ"x" combinations, but there are six Axx combinations.

Not much to go by, but it looks right to duck this.

EDIT: Saw Fluffy's ♦AKxx....good point - ducking is right with AKxx / AQxx too - (more likely combos too)
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#6 User is offline   bd71 

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Posted 2010-May-24, 14:02

pooltuna, on May 24 2010, 09:53 AM, said:

so you are saying declarer found a 3♣ call holding
Dealer: ?????
Vul: ????
Scoring: Unknown
♠ x
♥ x
♦ KQJx
♣ KQJxxxx
 

So remember that North (me) and South were desperate...

My actual holding was not much better than suggested here...

x
x
AJxx
KQxxxxx

Congrats to those who ducked because you eliminated my only chance at slam. At the table, LHO went up with the Ace and led another. When clubs broke 2-2 and the J♥ dropped under the Q♥ I had the 23-point slam.

Those who ducked won a net of 24 IMPs since our counterparts bid and made 3N.

I know I got lucky here on many fronts (club split, A♥ onside, J♥ falling)...I posted this to clear up whether I was also lucky in getting less-than-optimal defense. Seems like that's the case.

Punchline...we still lost by 50 IMPs.
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