Easy pass?
#1
Posted 2009-October-05, 11:56
♠ A97
♥ A4
♦ AT974
♣ AT3
You are dealer and with silent opponents, the auction goes:
1NT-2♣
2♦-6NT
Are you "not asked to the table" and should you autopass or ... is this the exception to the rule?
Rik
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
#2
Posted 2009-October-05, 12:05
#4
Posted 2009-October-05, 12:25
George Carlin
#5
Posted 2009-October-05, 12:31
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
#6
Posted 2009-October-05, 12:37
wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:
rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:
My YouTube Channel
#7
Posted 2009-October-05, 13:24
Trinidad, on Oct 5 2009, 12:56 PM, said:
♠ A97
♥ A4
♦ AT974
♣ AT3
You are dealer and with silent opponents, the auction goes:
1NT-2♣
2♦-6NT
Are you "not asked to the table" and should you autopass or ... is this the exception to the rule?
Rik
You are not invited to the table. Any call other than pass IMO is non-partnership bridge i.e. known as masterminding.
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#8
Posted 2009-October-05, 13:45
#9
Posted 2009-October-05, 13:50
Otherwise, pass is recommended.
-gwnn
#10
Posted 2009-October-05, 14:19
Rik
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
#11
Posted 2009-October-05, 14:47
I'm just saying, we might all learn something here. Because the first few hands I thought of for partner made 7NT easy, and it was hard to come up with ones that are worse than a finesse although possible. I mean it's not like you expect anyone to miss slam when this is the auction, so you could bid a grand with worse odds than normal if you knew what the odds would be.
#12
Posted 2009-October-05, 14:57
jdonn, on Oct 5 2009, 08:47 PM, said:
I'm just saying, we might all learn something here. Because the first few hands I thought of for partner made 7NT easy, and it was hard to come up with ones that are worse than a finesse although possible. I mean it's not like you expect anyone to miss slam when this is the auction, so you could bid a grand with worse odds than normal if you knew what the odds would be.
I think we're all programmed not to bid a grand unless we're "sure" and here we have no idea what cho has in store for us so that's why nobody wants to think outside the box. But it's a box I will be happy to be trapped in tbh.
George Carlin
#13
Posted 2009-October-05, 15:12
But in like 90% of the time I'd just pass.
#14
Posted 2009-October-05, 15:26
jdonn, on Oct 5 2009, 10:47 PM, said:
I'm just saying, we might all learn something here. Because the first few hands I thought of for partner made 7NT easy, and it was hard to come up with ones that are worse than a finesse although possible. I mean it's not like you expect anyone to miss slam when this is the auction, so you could bid a grand with worse odds than normal if you knew what the odds would be.
Just for those who haven't done the math:
If you consider it 100% that the other table (IMP's) have bid and made 6nt, the needed odds are:
NV: appr. 55%
V: appr. 58%
At MP's I'll leave it for yourself to figure out.
Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.
Best Regards Ole Berg
_____________________________________
We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:
- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.
Gnasher
#15
Posted 2009-October-05, 15:37
More or less any hand with ♦KQx or better is likely to offer good play for a grand slam; with ♦Kxx or worse it's likely to be bad, and the in-between holdings make it on a finesse.
Doesn't the fact that partner enquired about majors without investigating a minor-suit fit mean that his shape is likely to be 4=4=3=2, 4=4=2=3, 4=3=3=3 or 3=4=3=3? If so, that argues against a raise to seven. That reasoning only applies, of course, if you play methods that allow responder to look for a fit with a 4M-4m hand.
#16
Posted 2009-October-05, 15:44
#17
Posted 2009-October-05, 15:53
Won't any diamond holding other than KQx or KQJ make grand anti-percentage? The closest is KQJx KQJx Kx KQx which is 20 HCP. Removing a jack or changing ♣Q to ♣J and there are only 12 tricks though you'd still have chances for 13.
#18
Posted 2009-October-05, 16:00
In fact, supposing you knew partner had KJx of diamonds and a correct guess would see you home. You might reasonably say LHO will lead a diamond 25% of the time without the queen, and if he doesn't lead one you finesse him for the queen. So you make 62.5% of the time, and that's without even having the information from running a bunch of tricks first.
I'm still just playing devil's advocate since it would never have even occured to me to bid 7. Just wondering out loud, that's all.
#19
Posted 2009-October-05, 20:12
1000 runs, South makes 7NT 633 times, goes down in 6N 11 times.
Curiously, in the few hands i looked at i saw about as many hands where you would go down in 6N instead of making when playing single dummy, as in 7N. (Opposite ♦Kx, you often have to play diamonds for 4 winners to make 6N.)
(*) I would think with 17 hcp partner will usually bid 6N. He will have KQx(x)-suits that he will like opposite our likely aces. S.th. like KQJx Kx Kxx KQxx - add a spot and now do you really want to be genius and play in 4N opposite 16 hcp? There were a few 7N-1 though with 17hcp where one certainly wouldn't bid it though (KQ tight aside from no fit etc).
#20
Posted 2009-October-05, 21:02
One thing to consider, is that partner did not bid gerber. If he had 17, and zero aces, would he have checked to make sure we are not off two aces? If you believe so, he has 18-19, and I would guess that 7NT is a percentage contract.

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