Posted 2010-March-03, 15:52
I am willing to place a bet that the Senate bill, with some modifications, will pass. As we approach the fall elections, the Democrats will need to carefully construct their arguments as to why this is a good thing. Of course "good thing" always invites the response "good for whom?". I expect that features that would be found appealing would be:
A. Can't be denied coverage for pre-existing conditions.
B. Insurance won't run out with a prolonged illness.
C. Can keep coverage in the event of job loss.
If the Dems can make the case that these features can be implemented successfully and at a reasonable price, then they may survive the fall elections.
I would suggest that if the bill is passed on, say, a Tuesday then by Wednesday morning at the latest the Dems need to be able to give straightforward answers to these matters that will stand up to inspection. I think most people can imagine how, at some time in the future, such features would benefit them. But, of course, all three would, on the face of it, cost a lot. Actually a very large amount, if the features are taken at face value with no restraints at all. The money has to come from somewhere,and they had better be able to explain where. Although I am no historian, I believe that it is correct that with virtually every domestic spending plan in history the explanation for funding has been that we will pay for it by eliminating fraud and waste. Most people have noticed that fraud and waste are still with us. Tax the millionaires, maybe inflation adjusted to billionaires, is another favorite. But there is only so much water in that well and there are a lot of plants that are drying out.
It will be an interesting election in November.
Ken