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Yet another lead problem T2 lead vs LHO declarer in slam

Poll: What is your return? (13 member(s) have cast votes)

What is your return?

  1. [sp] (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. [he] (6 votes [46.15%])

    Percentage of vote: 46.15%

  3. [di] (6 votes [46.15%])

    Percentage of vote: 46.15%

  4. [cl] (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. I ducked the first trick (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. abstain because the answer is totally obvious (1 votes [7.69%])

    Percentage of vote: 7.69%

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#1 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-February-07, 10:22

Scoring: IMP

auction
W N E S
- - P P
4S P 6S P
P P

Opening lead is 9


You entered the team match as a substitute after the completion of the first hand. After 5 straight pushes this hand comes up.

EDIT:adding the dummy

A7
963
T2
AQJT62

EDIT#2: declarer's card on the first trick was the 3
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."

George Bernard Shaw
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#2 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-February-07, 14:25

Diamonds.

I dont think the answer is 100% obvious, but the King of hearts basically
required p to have an entry, more precise, he needs to control trumps,
otherwise what ever trick we are developing in hearts disappears on clubs.
But if he controls trumps - this means -1 anyway.

There is of course a 2nd point - if diamonds is wrong, it is easier to defend,
but you will look silly, if p happens to hold a diamond single or the diamond
king.

With kind
regards
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#3 User is offline   Dirk Kuijt 

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Posted 2010-February-07, 15:36

pooltuna: do we get to know what card declarer played to the first trick?

I'm surprised that the 6 bidder passed as dealer. I'd open that, and I'm more conservative than most on this board, I believe.

I'm having trouble finding a diamond holding for partner that is consistent with holding the king, at least with my lead conventions. KJ9, exactly, is the only one I can find, otherwise, he'd have led a lower spot or an honor. That holding is not all that likely; of course, if has a singleton, then he has no choice.

So, leading a diamond is playing partner for singleton 9 or KJ9, leading a heart is playing partner for 97, 93, or 973, and the A. Knowing partner's tendencies about leading unsupported aces on blasting auctions would be helpful.

codo said:

It is a fact that most people here write as if their opinion is a dogmatic fact.

eugene hung said:

My opinion is that this ought to win the award for best self-referential quote of the new year.
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#4 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-February-07, 16:31

Dirk Kuijt, on Feb 7 2010, 04:36 PM, said:

pooltuna: do we get to know what card declarer played to the first trick?

I'm surprised that the 6 bidder passed as dealer. I'd open that, and I'm more conservative than most on this board, I believe.

I'm having trouble finding a diamond holding for partner that is consistent with holding the king, at least with my lead conventions. KJ9, exactly, is the only one I can find, otherwise, he'd have led a lower spot or an honor. That holding is not all that likely; of course, if has a singleton, then he has no choice.

So, leading a diamond is playing partner for singleton 9 or KJ9, leading a heart is playing partner for 97, 93, or 973, and the A. Knowing partner's tendencies about leading unsupported aces on blasting auctions would be helpful.

The 3
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."

George Bernard Shaw
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#5 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-February-07, 16:49

I'd cash partner's A. For that to be wrong, the remaining hands have to be something like:

which seems unlikely.

With KJ9, I think partner should lead the king. By leading the suit he's playing me for the ace or queen anyway, and he knows that the nine will be hard to read.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#6 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2010-February-08, 04:10

As north I had tried to cash two heart tricks if I had been dealt the ace of hearts. And if I had been dealt H9 or HH9 in diamond, I had not lead the nine.

So maybe partner holds H97?

I play him for a singleton and cash the ruff...
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#7 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2010-February-08, 15:54

gnasher, on Feb 7 2010, 10:49 PM, said:

I'd cash partner's A. For that to be wrong, the remaining hands have to be something like:

which seems unlikely.

With KJ9, I think partner should lead the king. By leading the suit he's playing me for the ace or queen anyway, and he knows that the nine will be hard to read.

But wouldn't a sane partner lead the HA 100% of the time if he held it rather than a wishy-washy diamond lead from KJ9(x) or 9x?

I will play partner for KJ9 of diamonds
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