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they would lead that
#2
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Posted 2009-December-25, 14:03
ghow, on Dec 25 2009, 12:25 PM, said:
Scoring: MP
with no opposition bidding you reach 6h by south and get the 3s lead. what's the best plan?
with no opposition bidding you reach 6h by south and get the 3s lead. what's the best plan?
just duck the ♠ is probably your best shot. BTW not including an auction will not get necessarily the best answer. It is important to know the auction so that you can evaluate what the opponents know from the auction which impacts their leading tendencies.
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#3
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Posted 2009-December-25, 20:01
Yes, spade finesse looks at least 50%.
May as well look at the other line if - for some reason - you think West is unlikely to have led from ♠K.
Win ♠A, cash ♦AK and lead ♠Q. If they are 3-3, you still need 2-2 trumps (40%) so not great. East with ♠K975 is okay too, since you can ruff one high.
If you think spades are 3-3 (perhaps East played ♠2 at trick 1) you can try pitching a club & ruffing one. Play a club at trick 4. Say they play a trump. Now you can pitch a club on the 3-3 spade break and ruff a club so don't need trumps 3-1, though there might be diamond overruff.
If you are averse to hooking at trick one, that seems better than relying on spades alone.
May as well look at the other line if - for some reason - you think West is unlikely to have led from ♠K.
Win ♠A, cash ♦AK and lead ♠Q. If they are 3-3, you still need 2-2 trumps (40%) so not great. East with ♠K975 is okay too, since you can ruff one high.
If you think spades are 3-3 (perhaps East played ♠2 at trick 1) you can try pitching a club & ruffing one. Play a club at trick 4. Say they play a trump. Now you can pitch a club on the 3-3 spade break and ruff a club so don't need trumps 3-1, though there might be diamond overruff.
If you are averse to hooking at trick one, that seems better than relying on spades alone.
#4
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Posted 2009-December-26, 18:43
ghow, on Dec 25 2009, 12:25 PM, said:
Scoring: MP
with no opposition bidding you reach 6h by West and get the ♠3 lead. What's the best plan?
with no opposition bidding you reach 6h by West and get the ♠3 lead. What's the best plan?
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with no opposition bidding you reach 6h by south and get the 3s lead. what's the best plan?