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Predict the Yellow Winner Yellow tourney, Pick 1st to 5th place

#61 User is offline   skorchev 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 06:16

nickf, on Dec 21 2009, 02:14 PM, said:

skorchev, on Dec 21 2009, 09:54 PM, said:

1. NickF
2. Vincenzo
3. Georgi
4. Inquiry
5. cascade

I told you not to open your present until Christmas.

nickf
sydney

LOL

I hope you will not forget to log in for the tounament! :ph34r:
BE COOL!
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#62 User is offline   clearlight 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 07:41

1. molvam
2. reisig
3. inquiry
4. dkgrab
5. rain
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#63 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 08:28

there's a pick here:

[Link deleted,

Thanks!! I moved that post into this thread. NOTE it is earlier than this post now, because they are sorted by date. - inquiry]

This post has been edited by inquiry: 2009-December-21, 09:42

... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#64 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 09:51

1. Fred
2. Ritong
3. Reisig
4. Uday
5. Gerben42
- Andy -

We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
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#65 User is offline   sallyally 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 10:42

1. Fred
2. macaw
3. cascade
4. inquiry
5. reisig
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#66 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 16:18

1. Fred
2. Ritong
3. Reisig
4. Inquiry
5. Cascade
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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#67 User is offline   yorkypud61 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 19:09

1. walddk
2. Reisig
3. dkgrab
4. Georgi
5. nickf
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#68 User is offline   Ethel 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 20:32

Picks for the tournament:

1. Ritong
2. Fred
3. dkgrab
4. Reisig
5. Sheri
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#69 User is offline   Molly111 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 21:44

Picks for the tournament:


1. Reisig
2. Fred
3. Cascade
4. Uday
5. Inquiry

Good luck everyone!
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#70 User is offline   rishabh 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 21:46

1. Fred
2. Ritong
3. Reisig
4. Inquiry
5. Borko
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#71 User is offline   chasetb 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 22:53

1.) Dkgrab
2.) Georgi
3.) Reisig
4.) Gerben42
5.) ritong
"It's not enough to win the tricks that belong to you. Try also for some that belong to the opponents."

"Learn from the mistakes of others. You won't live long enough to make them all yourself."

"One advantage of bad bidding is that you get practice at playing atrocious contracts."

-Alfred Sheinwold
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#72 User is offline   Rain 

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Posted 2009-December-21, 23:01

Time's up, good luck all! Results will be posted soon, and tourney is 3pm EST Tuesday 22nd Dec.
"More and more these days I find myself pondering how to reconcile my net income with my gross habits."

John Nelson.
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#73 User is offline   Rain 

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Posted 2009-December-22, 16:07

Final results:
http://web09.bridgebase.com/tourneyresults...2039%7E1129.lin

Hand record:
http://online.bridgebase.com/myhands/hands...129-1261512039-

1st Cascade
2nd Chas_P
3rd Gerardo
4th Desikk
5th Sheri
6th Nickf
6th Uday
6th Joey
9th Arigun
10th Inquiry

-------------------
Each of these BBOers got 1 pick right, so it's a 5 way tie for 1st.
Each wins a little gift.

Andyboa1
Babalu1997
Ethel
Jlall
LsLLsL
Mcdonaldal

Honorable mentions. Each of these BBOers had their picks in the top 5.
Each also wins the same gift.

Bid_em_up
Hallway
jim_dandy
Molly111
On_time
Sallyally
Skorchev


The prize is a voucher for http://www.thesantavideo.com/
Someone will contact you guys soon with the voucher code. Hope it was fun lol.
"More and more these days I find myself pondering how to reconcile my net income with my gross habits."

John Nelson.
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#74 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2009-December-22, 16:28

Yay Sheri :P
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#75 User is offline   hallway 

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Posted 2009-December-22, 19:56

hooray for Sheri :lol:
Maureen
Founder/Manager
Beginner Intermediate Lounge (BIL) on BBO
Join on BIL Bridge
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#76 User is offline   fred 

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Posted 2009-December-22, 20:19

Sheri rules!!! :lol: :(

Fred Gitelman
Bridge Base Inc.
www.bridgebase.com
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#77 User is offline   Mr. Dodgy 

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Posted 2009-December-23, 04:25

Out of idle curiosity, I decided to score all the pundits in this contest to see whose guesses were, overall, the 'best'.

I did this by determining the difference in finishing rank among the yellows participating in the tournament with the rankings of the pundits in this thread.

The yellow rankings in the tournament were assessed as follows:

Cascade: 1
Chas_P: 2
Gerardo: 3
Desikk: 4
Sheri : 5
Nickf: 7
Uday: 7
Joey: 7
Arigun: 9
Inquiry: 10.5
Babela: 10.5
Nyrolf: 12.5
Ritong: 12.5
Fred: 14
Nafiz: 15.5
Reisig: 15.5
Macaw: 17
Sybarra: 18
Rain: 19
Dkgrab: 20
Jackie: 22
Tootsie215: 22
Pelepele: 22
Borko: 24
Gerben42: 25.5
Georgi: 25.5
Showle: 27
Gitelwoman: 28


For example, 'Molly111' selected

1. Reisig (Finished in position 15.5. Difference between 15.5 and 1 = 14.5)
2. Fred (Finished in position 14. Difference between 14 and 2 = 12)
3. Cascade (Finished in position 1. Difference between 1 and 3 = 2)
4. Uday (Finished in position 7. Difference between 7 and 4 = 3)
5. Inquiry (Finished in posistion 10.5. Difference between 10.5 and 5 = 5.5)

Total difference between Molly's selection and actual finishing positions is 14.5 + 12 + 2 + 3 + 5.5 = 37)

If someone had managed to actually select the top 5 in exactly the right order, they would have a score by this method of zero. Smaller scores are better.

If a pundit selected a player who did not actually play in the tournament, I regarded that player as having finished 29th.

After all that, here are the top 20 prognosticators and their scores:

Molly111: 37
queenofhea: 38
Jlall: 39
rogerclee: 41
Echognome: 43
Mbodell: 44.5
jdaming: 44.5
martujes: 44.5
gwnn: 44.5
bid_em_up: 46.5
sallyally: 47
hallway: 47.5
Jim_Dandy: 48.5
Tcyk: 51
vuroth: 51
andyboa1: 51
davids: 51
Ethel: 52
onoway: 54
peachy: 54.5
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#78 User is offline   Mr. Dodgy 

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Posted 2009-December-23, 06:26

Incidentally, it seems that Ethel's entry has been missed on the spreadsheet - and it would seem (s)he is eligible for a prize for picking Sheri placing 5th.
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#79 User is offline   Rain 

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Posted 2009-December-23, 08:04

No idea how I missed Ethel's entry in spreadsheet - did it get merged from somewhere? But she'll also win the prize. I'll amend the list of winners.
"More and more these days I find myself pondering how to reconcile my net income with my gross habits."

John Nelson.
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#80 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-December-23, 08:06

I calculated the squared deviations and got:

queenofhea 17.9
jlall 20.6
rogerclee 21.1
echognome 21.3
gwnn 21.4
martujes 21.4
Mbodell 22.3
bid_em_up 22.6
hope 23.1
sallyally 23.6
davids 23.8
tcyk 25.2
peachy 25.4
Molly111 25.8
onoway 26.4
vuroth 26.6
Trysalot 26.7
MsPetey 27.0
jim_dandy 27.1
dkgrab 28

Just to show how good my prediction was :P
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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