And the blame goes to...
#2
Posted 2009-November-09, 11:50
George Carlin
#3
Posted 2009-November-09, 11:58
#4
Posted 2009-November-09, 12:15
Which hand of them is more near opening values? Let's ask Mr Petkov.
East: 9 HCP + 2 controls + 5♠ + 5♦ + 5♠ - 1♣ = 25 points which is just under opening values. One could argue to upgrade the good spots in long suits to make it opening hand but zar points are already over evaluating your 5-5 distribution mildly.
West: 12 HCP + 3 controls + 4♠ + 4♣ + 4♠ - 2 ♦ = 27 points which is clear opener.
So west should raise to 2♠. and east to game when his hand grows from 9 card spade fit to real opening values.
How good is this game? Not very great. Below 40% mark which is barely good enough for vuln games in IMPs. So I wouldn't blame anyone much for missing this game.
♥ guess 50% and on trump lead you need to setup a ♦ trick. 5♠+2ruffs (might only get one if trumps are 3-1 and defense manages to play them 3 times)+♥+♦ is not enough.
#5
Posted 2009-November-09, 12:33
Bill
#6
Posted 2009-November-09, 12:39
suokko, on Nov 9 2009, 01:15 PM, said:
You will have a lot of information about the heart guess.
#7
Posted 2009-November-09, 12:51
#8
Posted 2009-November-09, 12:53
#9
Posted 2009-November-09, 13:00
Offhand, I would say that the only times that the opponents do not balance over 1♠ is when you have play for 4♠.
#10
Posted 2009-November-09, 13:03
East could open but pass is ok as well. West should normally raise with four card support and a full opener but the actual hand has very soft values so pass is reasonable. And the game is marginal, as suokko pointed out.
#11
Posted 2009-November-09, 13:11
jdonn, on Nov 9 2009, 01:53 PM, said:
yeah I might duplicate it too. I guess the warning trigger might be that we are V. NV is not so catastrophic
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#12
Posted 2009-November-09, 14:54
Looks like a normal auction to me. And opening 2♠ as East, playing 'standard' weak twos or showing spades and a minor, weak two values, wouldn't change much for most, I would think. Why would West, with all those soft, soft values, raise the stakes?
***** happens. If you never miss a game, you bid too much.
#13
Posted 2009-November-09, 15:06
#14
Posted 2009-November-09, 15:28
I would have opened 1♠ OTOH. Excellent suit, no rebid problems, 6 losers. This is borderline though. I don't care if my partner thinks I have more in defensive tricks.
BTW I'm not sure I want to be in game with these 2 hands. In 4♠, I'll roughly need diamonds to be at worse 4-2, and if they break 4-2 I have to handle the 3-1 trump splits. Even then I may have to guess Hearts, and even if I think I can guess them 2/3 of the time (optimistic), my guess is that I'll make that game 40% of the time. Sometimes I'll be down 2.
All in all, if I loose imps on this one I would just blame cards, and say that that they had no talent this time.
#15
Posted 2009-November-09, 15:56
#16
Posted 2009-November-09, 15:58
1) You might miss game when partner has a shapely maximum! The 4th trump is very important in these situations! Gee that's what happened here!
2) You let them into your auction very easily when you know they have a fit/fits and ample high cards!
#17
Posted 2009-November-09, 16:26
The problem with this sequence is that Responder has a player hand just shy of an opening, and wrong for a weak two. That often (usually?) means a two-suiter.
For this reason, I am starting more and more to like two-suited intermediate responses by Responder.
Over third-seat 1♠, I have been using 3♣ and 3♦ to show this type of hand with the bid minor and hearts, 2NT both minors.
Over 3rd-seat 1♥, 2NT minors and 2♠ for spades and a minor (2NT asks).
Over minors, I typically play 2♥ as 5♥, 4-5♠ weakish and 2♠ as 5♠, 4-5♥ and stronger. This does not solve all problems, and it misses this one.
Perhaps 1♣-P-2♦ as 5♦, 5 of one of the majors works (maybe with paradox rebids?).
Over 1♦, greater problem.
-P.J. Painter.
#18
Posted 2009-November-09, 16:32
I've never understood the point of this tactic anyway. If partner wasn't a passed hand, you'd raise to 2♠ without thought. Why does the fact that partner has passed suddenly make this more dangerous? And why does anyone think that the opponents will let you play in 1♠ if that's the right spot?
#19
Posted 2009-November-09, 16:38
gnasher, on Nov 9 2009, 05:32 PM, said:
I've never understood the point of this tactic anyway. If partner wasn't a passed hand, you'd raise to 2♠ without thought. Why does the fact that partner has passed suddenly make this more dangerous? And why does anyone think that the opponents will let you play in 1♠ if that's the right spot?
Well as an idiot passer, in response to your questions:
- Obviously the reason you don't pass when partner's an unpassed hand is that he is unlimited, not because raising is at all safe. It's no more dangerous to raise when partner's a passed hand than when partner's an unpassed hand, but that isn't really part of anyone's argument.
- I do not expect the opponents to let me play in 1♠. But passing 1♠ avoids partner making a game try and getting to 3♠ and maybe going down, or bidding game and going down (such as if he was short in hearts instead of clubs here). If the opponents balance and I get the chance I'll even take the push to 2♠ myself, but in that case partner has been warned.
To address other points brought up:
- I don't think it's a meaningful comparison to equate passing or not here to having a full opening bid. It should only have to do with the chances of having game, getting too high, letting the opponents in, etc. Whether or not we would have opened in any other seat is moot.
- I don't see why letting the opponents in when I have this hand is bad. I'll be fine with it if they end up in 3 of something and I have this offensive powerhouse.
All that being said, Justin has been telling me for years not to pass on a full opener with 4 card support. I guess I'll never learn, or maybe one day.
#20
Posted 2009-November-09, 18:13
Nobody is saying (I think) that you should normally pass a minimum with four card support. But the actual hand is not a normal hand, it's significantly worse than that. You're going nowhere if partner is balanced, and if he has shape then there'll be a lot of wastage with those secondary honours in the side suits. I'd evaluate it as about a 10.5.
Kaplan/Rubens calls it 10.25 without the assumption that partner is unbalanced with spades which makes it worse. By way of comparison, a hand like QJxx K10x xx AQ9x is worth 11.85.

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