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another slam lead is this obvious?

Poll: do you choose (20 member(s) have cast votes)

do you choose

  1. diamond Jack (14 votes [70.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 70.00%

  2. club Queen (3 votes [15.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 15.00%

  3. something else (3 votes [15.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 15.00%

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#1 User is offline   rfedrick 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 02:21

7-board swiss teams, game all, team-mates are +680 so your choice will swing 26 imps.

Two affable gentlemen bid 1♦-1♥; 1♠-6♠ and you have to lead from xxx xxx J QJ10xxx.
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#2 User is offline   mich-b 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 02:35

♦J.
This will require the least from partner to beat the slam.

Also , most LHOs would be much more likely to bid like that missing a ♦ control than missing a ♣ control.
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#3 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 03:59

Diamond, seems auto.
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#4 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 06:16

mich-b, on Sep 22 2009, 03:35 AM, said:

♦J.
This will require the least from partner to beat the slam.

Also , most LHOs would be much more likely to bid like that missing a ♦ control than missing a ♣ control.

agreed! either the ♦A or a trump entry will serve as long as dummy has at least 2♦
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#5 User is offline   hatchett 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 09:43

Add me to the ♦ J leaders.
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#6 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 11:04

Jd seems very obvious.

If you think about it the 6s bidder almost certainly has a club void for is bidding. it would be bizarre for him to have a diamond void, and with no void he is near certain to have bid BW whatever his level.

My second choice would be a trump. I am trying to work out what hand he has to bid like this, and im going to guess its about
AKxx
AKxxxx
KQx
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and that he thinks one of the red suits will come in. Given how good his hand must be, a void and lack of sufficient tools must be the only reason he has not had a sniff at grand, as 1s rebid is very wide ranging normally.
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#7 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 12:57

Seems like an easy ♦ lead
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#8 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2009-September-22, 13:14

rfedrick, on Sep 22 2009, 03:21 AM, said:

7-board swiss teams, game all, team-mates are +680 so your choice will swing 26 imps. Two affable gentlemen bid 1♦-1♥; 1♠-6♠ and you have to lead from xxx xxx J QJ10xxx.

It's not obvious to me. IMO
  • ♦ = 10, Playing partner for ♦A or a quick trump entry.
  • ♠ = 9, Cards seem to lie badly for declarer. Perhaps he needs some ruffs.
  • ♦ = 6, Gives little away if opponents are stretching,
  • ♥ = 3, But partner might have made a Lightner X.

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