I play
♠A and two more rounds of clubs. Here is why:
Partner has
♥KQ and
♦K, so he can't have
♠K as well.
At the other table North, who doesn't hate his partner, will bid 2
♠. That is at most one down. Although 3NT may make on some layouts, it's very unlikely to be bid. Therefore our objective is to score 300. (The purity of this analysis is a good example of why BAM is better than pairs.)
If declarer has Kx A109xx AQJx Hx, I can take the ace and play two more rounds of clubs for two down - declarer loses control. Alternatively, I can duck; we still get two down as long as partner plays more clubs next time he's s in.
If declarer has K A109xx AQJx Qxx, eveything seems to lead to one down. If I duck, declarer exits with a trump, and partner has to be careful to cash the heart and exit with a spade, endplaying declarer for one down. If I win and exit with a diamond, partner is endplayed to give declarer his seventh trick in clubs. If I win and exit with a low club, declarer plays a diamond, we force declarer's last trump, and declarer exits with a heart, leaving partner with only losers.
If declarer has K A109xx AQJx Jxx, I have to take
♠A to get two down.
This post has been edited by gnasher: 2009-July-11, 05:17
1C - 1H - 1N - P;
P - 2D - x - AP