Posted 2009-July-10, 12:52
First, I think it is clear that 4♥ is a better contract than 3NT. But the best contract is the one that will avoid a diamond lead.
Playing in 3NT and having reached this point, my first thought was to lead the ♣10 from hand. If they duck, you can play the A and K of clubs. If the ♣Q does not fall, you can cash a high spade for your 6th trick and exit a club. Whoever wins this trick is going to have to play either a spade or a heart back to you, and hopefully this is good enough for you to make 9 tricks.
As a variation on this theme, instead of cashing one high spade, you could cash both high spades and exit a club, hoping that either the ♠T falls or the hand with the Q fourth of clubs has no more spades. If the ♠T falls and the hand with the ♣Q has long spades, you cannot cash the ♠9 before exiting in clubs.
However, it occurred to me that if you play the ♣10 out of hand the opponent with the ♣Q could win it and return a club, forcing you to win in dummy and hope that hearts are 3-3 or win in hand and hope that the ♠10 falls. Presumably, your opps would not make this play unless it was in their best interest to do so.
So, you have a couple of other lines of play:
(1) If hearts are 3-3 and the ♣Q is in LHO's hand, you can lead a low club towards dummy, hoping to win all of the rest of the tricks in dummy.
(2) If clubs are 3-3 or the ♣Q is doubleton, you can play A, K and another club. Either the clubs run (and you have 9 tricks) or the opponent who wins the third round of clubs has to make a favorable return to you.
I like line (2) best.
If the ♣Q is singleton, I think your best play would be to cash four clubs and throw an opponent in with the last club and try to take advantage of the return.
We bid: 1D - 1H - 2S - 3H - 3N - P
Where would you like to play this at BAM?