[andy_h]

Scoring: IMP

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You're South, at ALL red, RHO deals and opens 1♠. You overcall 2♥, W bids 3♠ (5-9ish or whatever). North dbls, Pass, You bid 4♥ and it goes Pass, Pass, Dbl, All Pass.

Full Auction:
1♠ - 2♥ - 3♠ - dbl
Pass - 4♥ - Pass - Pass
Dbl - All Pass.

So you have a few losers. LHO leads ♠K, won, then ♠Q, won. Then LHO switches to ♣J to the Q and Ace. RHO now continues the ♣8 to your 9, T and K.
Hook or drop?

Here may be some relevant facts:

- Opponents are of an Avg level (x may just be aces or something, so you don't know if it's a "pure" penalty double)
- East didn't cash ♦A but returned a club, and EV wise, which position would you take?

[karlson]

Seems like east might have cashed out if he didn't think he had a trump trick. I'll hook. I don't see how they're making 4♠ (unless hearts are 1-5 or something), so the difference between -500 and -800 might not matter much.

[andy_h]

Our clubs are good. It's the difference between +790 (guess right), -200 (drop fails) or -800 (hook fails and a club ruff is imminent).

[karlson]

Unless I'm missing something, they still get the ♦A if the drop fails.

[Jlall]

meh, it's really random, I'd just go with the clue that they may or may not double without Jxxx of hearts, and would always double with it. I don't read too much into them not cashing the DA, it's a stupid play either way.

[Free]

Reading the initial post I guess you believe that your partner should've finessed, or you finessed and it turned out wrong. Anyway I don't see a clear reason to play either way. It's indeed pretty random.

[andy_h]

Yeah it is pretty random. I thought the play highly depended upon the level of the opponents (RHO mainly). And with this particular one you may not want to risk 3 off? As it was, the player at the table hooked and that meant -800 when drop wins.

Scoring: IMP

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