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for once, a pleasant surprise

#1 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 09:33

white all, MPs

♠AJ742
♥A2
♦Q954
♣J9

1NT* - (p) - 2♠** - (p)
p - (3♥) - Dbl - (all pass)

* 10-12
** non-forcing

Looks like they stepped in at the wrong time. Now what should we lead to extract the maximum from this board?
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#2 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 12:20

I'm not trying to maximize anything here, but I would like to avoid giving away -530 or even +100. A club might score us a ruff, and a spade might give pard a ruff, but both are at the risk of losing a trick.

I'll lead my 3rd best diamond.
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#3 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 14:10

agree with Phil.
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#4 User is offline   akhare 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 14:36

J♣ for me -- have trump control and some chance of a ruff if pard holds A♣ and knows to duck. I suppose we could pickle pard's K♣ if dummy has Q♣ and they hold AT of ♣...
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#5 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 14:47

Diamond is a wtp.
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#6 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 15:08

Jack of clubs, I like my odds of getting a ruff and find any suit a little risky anyway.
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#7 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2009-June-26, 15:26

jdonn, on Jun 26 2009, 04:08 PM, said:

Jack of clubs, I like my odds of getting a ruff and find any suit a little risky anyway.

ditto.
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#8 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2009-June-27, 17:30

On the actual deal, any major suit card gets -2 and any minor suit card gets -1 (although the ♣9 may cause them to misguess the suit). I was torn between the ♣J and a diamond, and led the ♣J.
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