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Normality check yet another 3NT opening lead problem

Poll: your lead? (31 member(s) have cast votes)

your lead?

  1. Diamond ten (24 votes [77.42%])

    Percentage of vote: 77.42%

  2. Small heart (7 votes [22.58%])

    Percentage of vote: 22.58%

  3. Other (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-24, 03:29

Matchpoints, none vuln, adv opps. You hold:

Jxx
Kxxx
1098x
xx

LHO RHO
2 2NT
3 3
3 3NT

2 = weak, can be 5 cards on a regular basis
2NT = asks suit quality
3 = at most one top honor in spades, says nothing about length
3 = asks hcp range
3 = max

No need to comment the bidding methods. And no, neither me nor Ken were involved ;)

Your lead?
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-April-24, 06:11

I don't think there's anything abnormal about either red-suit lead. I'd lead a diamond, because I think a heart is more likely to cost an overtrick than to gain anything.

There's less reason than usual to prefer a major-suit lead, because RHO wouldn't have introduced hearts even if he'd had them. You also can't infer much from partner's failure to double 3 - he almost certainly doesn't have good enough pips.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2009-April-24, 06:12

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#3 User is offline   petergreat 

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Posted 2009-April-24, 08:03

I chose a heart, because partner doesn't need as many key cards to set up the suit.
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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-24, 08:07

gnasher, on Apr 24 2009, 12:11 PM, said:

You also can't infer much from partner's failure to double 3

Pard only had the chance to double 3, not 3.
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#5 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-April-25, 03:23

East looks like strong without fit planing to make 3NT on his own. He might also have heavy fit like AQx, but out spade golding makes it unlikelly.

IMO the only 2 possible leads are J (active) and 10 (passive). I like J best. I am not combfortable because it puts all the eggs in one basket, but its worth a try.
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#6 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2009-April-25, 03:35

T, although there's much to say for a .
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#7 User is offline   Neobas 

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Posted 2009-April-25, 04:47

T, Kxxx(x) is never a comfy lead. (J) seems too aggressive to me...
Like to play with friends (you're welcome to become one ;)).
Dutch U20
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#8 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 05:29

Thanks all.

The poll was, in fact, to check on a laws issue. Before the lead, opening leader's partner asked questions about the 3 bid, after which a diamond was led. It seems like a diamond is, however, the most normal lead, so I'll just leave it at it.

The diamond sets it 2 tricks. After a heart lead, it will probably make.
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#9 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 05:47

The test is whether a heart lead is a logical alternative. It is, so from the sound of it you should adjust the score.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#10 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 10:59

Hum.. it's around 75 vs 25% for the diamond lead. Isn't it supposed to count as an LA only if it's something like 70 vs 30?
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#11 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 11:26

2007 Laws said:

A logical alternative action is one that, among the class of players
in question and using the methods of the partnership, would be given
serious consideration by a significant proportion of such players, of whom
it is judged some might select it.

I believe that interpretation of the words "significant" and "some" varies. In the ACBL, for example:

ACBL Laws Commission said:

where the word “some” is used it should suggest to the tournament director and a committee more than one, and the word “significant” should suggest to the tournament director and a committee more than a minor proportion (e.g. 2/100) but less than a major proportion (e.g. 40/100).

Whereas in the EBU:

EBU Laws & Ethics Committee said:

What is a “significant proportion”? The Laws do not specify a figure, but the
TD should assume that it means at least one player in five.
...
Again the Laws do not specify a figure for “some”, and the TD should assume
that it means more than just an isolated exception.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2009-April-26, 11:27

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#12 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 11:30

Thanks. I'm still quite undecided. Asked the question at a laws forum. Maybe they can also help.

And yeah, directing isn't my cup of tea. I do it only because there's no one else to do it at the local club :blink:
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#13 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 11:59

Definitely adjust, not close.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#14 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2009-April-26, 16:18

whereagles, on Apr 26 2009, 06:29 AM, said:

Thanks all.

The poll was, in fact, to check on a laws issue. Before the lead, opening leader's partner asked questions about the 3 bid, after which a diamond was led. It seems like a diamond is, however, the most normal lead, so I'll just leave it at it.

The diamond sets it 2 tricks. After a heart lead, it will probably make.

You should try every trick in your bag to try to explain them that questions by opening leader's partner before the lead are unethical. Especially questions about a specific bid.
It's a 100% clear-cut procedural penalty, but of course that might be counter-productive in your educational efforts.
"Are you saying that LTC merits a more respectful dismissal?"
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 04:09

yeah, procedural penalty is clear. My problem is more whether to adjust :)

But thanks.
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#16 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 05:32

So in the last week we have had an insanity-check thread for Ken and a normality-check thread for whereagles? What's next, an elderly-check for Justin?
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#17 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 07:27

A humility check for Josh?
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#18 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 07:36

A Paranoia Check for Winston?

or a God Check for Jimmy?

oops... I may be turning the interesting bridge hands forum into the water cooler... :)
Yay for the "Ignored Users" feature!
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#19 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 08:25

hanp, on Apr 27 2009, 08:27 AM, said:

A humility check for Josh?

Good one, I definitely asked for it.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#20 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-April-27, 09:19

jdonn, on Apr 27 2009, 09:25 AM, said:

hanp, on Apr 27 2009, 08:27 AM, said:

A humility check for Josh?

Good one, I definitely asked for it.

You pass.
Hi y'all!

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