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Nine Trumps Play for nine tricks or too balanced?

#21 User is offline   Trumpace 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 12:20

FWIW, I agree with the pass.

My comment was directed at the post which claimed that the law implies that we pass this out (sorry should have quoted it).

I guess by "The Law", people mean different things (some include adjustments, some don't).
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#22 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 12:38

rogerclee, on Mar 19 2009, 01:14 PM, said:

Apollo81, on Mar 19 2009, 11:13 AM, said:

rogerclee, on Mar 19 2009, 02:10 PM, said:

I think it is strange that there are so many people in this thread referring to the Law and so few people just saying that partner is 5323 most likely (basically always?), which is terrible with our shape, so we have an obvious pass.

The Law supports a pass.

Yes, but so does bridge logic, and I didn't even need to make any adjustments.

Adjusted bridge logic?
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#23 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 13:33

keylime, on Mar 20 2009, 05:47 AM, said:

I strongly suspect pard to be 4-4-2-3.

If my partner was going to compete with that shape he would make a takeout double.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#24 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 13:39

As for good keylime quotes:

keylime, on Mar 19 2009, 11:47 AM, said:

the losers are completely obscene


Clearly a winner talking!

Spoiler

and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#25 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 13:57

With this terrific shape, passing seems pretty obvious to me!
Bidding is a big winner only if both sides can make on the 3-level. I'd expect both sides to go down at the 3-level quite often.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#26 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 14:01

I have to pass this flat hand and hope 3 goes off. I expect 3 will be a clear underdog and that sometimes no one can take 9 tricks.
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#27 User is offline   keylime 

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  Posted 2009-March-19, 15:59

And to think I have been known to quip "Pard, the dummy if it was a food would be creme brûlée..."

God, the lack of coffee showed.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
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#28 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-March-19, 16:03

keylime, on Mar 19 2009, 04:59 PM, said:

And to think I have been known to quip "Pard, the dummy if it was a food would be creme brûlée..."

God, the lack of coffee showed.

More like, "if dummy were a horse, I'd shoot it".
Hi y'all!

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#29 User is offline   peachy 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 01:14

I think partner has 5 spades (in my weak NT partnerships, five of major is not uncommon if the hand falls in the NT range, not sure if that is true for OP) and some sort of max to afford 2S there. I'm bidding 3S. If he had both majors and short diamonds, he would have doubled instead of bid spades.
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#30 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 03:30

I feel a bit badly for not ever raising partner with 4 trumps, when we could be having game our side, but with all those 3-3 holdings it will be more like a miracle.
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#31 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 03:38

I'm surprised that there's any discussion of partner's likely shape. He's obviously 5=3=2=3.

It's inconceivable that opener would bid 2 here on a four-card suit. With four spades and two diamonds, he'd make a takeout double. With four spades and three diamonds, he'd pass. If we aren't playing takeout doubles by opener (why?), we've already decided that we don't want opener to be able to compete with only a four-card spade suit.

It's also very unlikely that opponents have reached 3 with only seven of them, eschewing an eight-card fit in hearts or clubs, especially when they have less than half the high card strength and have poor intermediates in their trump suit.

I'm also surprised at the number of people who seem to rely on the "Law" of Total Tricks, whether adjusted or not. You're facing a hand that is well-defined in both strength and shape, so why not construct a few (sensible) examples and think about where you want to play? If you do that, you'll rapidly conclude that you're closer to double than to 3.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#32 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 03:59

rogerclee, on Mar 19 2009, 06:14 PM, said:

On top of this, it is practically a puzzle to even construct layouts where both 3 and 3 are making.

That's a challenge if ever I saw one



OK it requires
- partner to open 1NT on all 5332s in range
- RHO not to be playing any form of conventional defence to 1NT
- us not to lead or switch to a heart against 3D

and it still wasn't easy
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#33 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 08:17

FrancesHinden, on Mar 20 2009, 11:59 AM, said:

rogerclee, on Mar 19 2009, 06:14 PM, said:

On top of this, it is practically a puzzle to even construct layouts where both 3 and 3 are making.

That's a challenge if ever I saw one



OK it requires
- partner to open 1NT on all 5332s in range
- RHO not to be playing any form of conventional defence to 1NT
- us not to lead or switch to a heart against 3D

and it still wasn't easy



19 total tricks.

(Okay, I've been convinced pass is the right bid, but shh, please don't tell anybody.)
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Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

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We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#34 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2009-March-20, 13:18

gnasher, on Mar 20 2009, 10:38 PM, said:

I'm surprised that there's any discussion of partner's likely shape. He's obviously 5=3=2=3.

This wasn't my regular partnership so I wasn't 100% sure about style but was fairly confident he had five spades (hence the thread title). In my regular partnership 5=2=2=4 is also a reasonably likely distribution.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

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