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why is it that the majors mostly break 3-3 in moysian fit hands?
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expert bridge inaugural post moysian fits
#1
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Posted 2009-February-15, 19:31
I tried to post there, but the moderator moved it
why is it that the majors mostly break 3-3 in moysian fit hands?
why is it that the majors mostly break 3-3 in moysian fit hands?
Free, on 2011-May-10, 03:57, said:
Babalu just wanted a shoulder to cry on, is that too much to ask for?
#2
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Posted 2009-February-15, 20:22
It's a self-selecting sample illusion...you're more likely to hear about the ones that work, and the ones where the trump are 3-3 are more likely to work.
Sounded good, anyway.
Sounded good, anyway.
1. LSAT tutor for rent.
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
#3
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Posted 2009-February-15, 21:38
I don't know that it is true that they do but perhaps you would accept a slight restating?
Namely:
When playing a Moysian, the opposing cards break3-3 more often than probability says they should.
Here would be a possible explanation: You reach 2H in a Moysian. If they do not split 3-3, the guy with short hearts is a little more likely to have five spades to compete with, and if he doesn't he may make a TO double. His partner, over the TO double, holding four hearts and not knowing of the Moysian, figures it's not good enough for a pass and bids something. Thus, the non-playable Moysian is a little less often played. No one notices the Moysians that are not played.
If the claim is true, and if this explanation is correct, (two very big ifs) I would expect the deviation from the probability tables to be more pronounced with hearts than with spades.
My guess would be that the statement simply isn't true.
Namely:
When playing a Moysian, the opposing cards break3-3 more often than probability says they should.
Here would be a possible explanation: You reach 2H in a Moysian. If they do not split 3-3, the guy with short hearts is a little more likely to have five spades to compete with, and if he doesn't he may make a TO double. His partner, over the TO double, holding four hearts and not knowing of the Moysian, figures it's not good enough for a pass and bids something. Thus, the non-playable Moysian is a little less often played. No one notices the Moysians that are not played.
If the claim is true, and if this explanation is correct, (two very big ifs) I would expect the deviation from the probability tables to be more pronounced with hearts than with spades.
My guess would be that the statement simply isn't true.
Ken
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